NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	91		Excitement	8.8 [155]		MVP	Arron Afflalo (ORL): +29.5%
Orlando Magic	89		Comeback	3.1 [168]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -36.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15	0.03	0.10	-0.01	14	50%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Avery Bradley	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1	-0.01	0.11	0.00	13	47%	0.19	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Courtney Lee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	9	59%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.03	14	34%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jordan Crawford	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	13	45%	0.11	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Kris Humphries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	46%	-0.00	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Vitor Faverani	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	0.02	-0.02	13	31%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.3	0.30	0.09	0.20	-0.01	15	64%	0.37	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.03
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	53%	0.07	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.09
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	12	50%	0.08	4	-0.14	4	50%	-0.03
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27	-0.27	-0.12	-0.16	-0.01	12	32%	-0.12	3	-0.15	4	75%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.27,-0.32,-0.37,-0.25,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.18	-0.18	0.00	15	37%	-0.12	7	-0.24	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	34.2	15.6	26.6	2.0	41.5	145.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +4.1%

BOS +13.3%

ORL -10.7%

BOS +34.7%

BOS +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.1	15.1	95.8	91.8	105.2
season	15.4	15.3		101.2	100.4
opponent	15.0	15.0		105.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.1	12.3	17.1	17.6	15.9
ORL	12.4	13.8	15.6	15.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Crawford	57	58	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.43	11	-9	20	17.5	13.4	4.04	15.0	12.9	2.13
Jeff Green	63	63	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.41	10	-8	18	16.1	15.4	0.70	14.5	13.5	0.99
Avery Bradley	54	57	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.48	6	-4	10	16.8	14.7	2.09	14.5	13.6	0.84
Brandon Bass	72	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	2	-2	16.2	14.7	1.55	14.4	13.5	0.91
Kelly Olynyk	45	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	1	0	14.9	16.8	-1.91	14.0	14.3	-0.32
Kris Humphries	2	2	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	-1	4	9.0	16.0	-7.02	14.5	14.1	0.36
Vitor Faverani	31	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	0	2	18.0	14.9	3.11	14.5	14.0	0.45
Jared Sullinger	39	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	3	-4	15.4	16.2	-0.79	14.2	14.1	0.02
Phil Pressey	34	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.07	-2	4	-6	13.6	17.1	-3.56	13.7	14.4	-0.68
Courtney Lee	38	39	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	9	-16	14.3	16.9	-2.55	12.9	15.0	-2.13
Gerald Wallace	40	43	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.09	-13	15	-28	15.0	16.5	-1.51	13.1	15.0	-1.93

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	26	26	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.01	6	-8	14	13.3	14.5	-1.14	13.6	16.7	-3.11
Andrew Nicholson	43	44	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-4	6	13.7	14.5	-0.80	14.3	17.3	-2.98
Maurice Harkless	61	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-1	0	14.4	13.7	0.63	16.1	15.4	0.67
E'Twaun Moore	42	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	3	-8	13.8	14.4	-0.59	14.1	17.3	-3.15
Arron Afflalo	67	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-3	4	14.3	13.7	0.60	16.5	14.5	2.06
Jameer Nelson	70	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.46	3	-5	8	14.5	13.1	1.38	16.9	13.3	3.55
Victor Oladipo	51	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	4	-10	13.4	15.0	-1.63	14.8	17.0	-2.18
Jason Maxiell	54	51	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.50	-4	2	-6	14.5	13.7	0.80	17.3	14.3	2.98
Nikola Vucevic	71	69	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.43	-8	6	-14	14.5	13.3	1.14	16.7	13.6	3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.22,0.14,0.34,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 118, CHA 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.03,0.02,0	93.0%
SAS 99, OKC 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.4,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.17,0	92.5%
SAC 97, MIL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.21,0.31,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.16,0	92.1%