NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	97		Excitement	7.8 [288]		MVP	Carlos Delfino (MIL): +18.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	90		Comeback	2.9 [126]		LVP	Andrew Bogut (MIL): -16.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	16	58%	0.13	1	-0.04	11	82%	0.04
Marcus Thornton	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09	0.03	0.07	0.01	19	59%	0.19	4	-0.10	8	87%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	5	42%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Darnell Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Pooh Jeter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	11	54%	0.04	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.00
Donte Greene	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.02	0.00	20	71%	0.29	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	7	71%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	-0.01	-0.04	6	69%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	14	28%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	6	17%	-0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.16	-0.02	13	56%	0.03	4	-0.20	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	3.3	30.6	15.4	23.3	2.4	33.5	132.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -0.9%

MIL -0.2%

SAC +30.4%

SAC +17.2%

SAC +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIL	NBA	SAC	MIL	NBA
this game	15.4	16.8	15.5	107.8	101.1	105.7
season	14.9	16.2		102.1	100.1
opponent	15.4	14.9		100.9	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.1	15.2	13.8	15.6	15.4
MIL	14.9	19.9	15.0	18.0	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	76	73	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.37	9	-2	11	15.4	15.2	0.18	17.6	13.1	4.58
Beno Udrih	80	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-1	9	15.2	16.6	-1.39	17.0	15.2	1.78
Jason Thompson	29	29	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	0	7	16.4	14.9	1.54	17.4	16.5	0.88
Marcus Thornton	80	80	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	1	5	15.3	15.9	-0.60	16.3	21.0	-4.65
Donte Greene	52	50	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.29	6	1	5	14.6	16.4	-1.82	16.7	17.0	-0.32
DeMarcus Cousins	55	57	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	3	1	15.6	15.1	0.51	15.4	19.4	-4.09
Pooh Jeter	17	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.10	4	3	1	15.6	15.3	0.35	17.3	16.7	0.57
Francisco Garcia	42	41	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	8	-9	16.3	14.6	1.68	16.8	16.9	-0.12
Darnell Jackson	19	17	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.02	-8	15	-23	13.9	15.8	-1.87	18.6	16.4	2.26

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	25	25	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-10	13	15.8	17.2	-1.36	14.8	15.6	-0.78
Larry Sanders	30	32	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-12	17	15.2	17.7	-2.49	14.5	15.8	-1.34
Jon Brockman	24	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-6	5	14.1	17.8	-3.75	15.0	15.5	-0.57
Keyon Dooling	37	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-1	-5	16.5	17.0	-0.52	14.2	16.2	-2.00
Brandon Jennings	59	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	17.1	16.3	0.73	16.1	13.9	2.15
Luc Mbah a Moute	53	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	1	-9	17.4	15.9	1.52	15.9	14.6	1.26
Carlos Delfino	87	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.33	-5	-2	-3	17.0	11.0	5.95	15.4	13.0	2.42
John Salmons	60	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.34	-7	0	-7	16.7	17.0	-0.27	15.5	15.0	0.49
Andrew Bogut	70	68	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.28	-10	3	-13	18.2	11.7	6.53	15.5	14.9	0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.21,0.31,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, DAL 79	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.08,0.01,0,0	93.0%
SEA 117, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.05,0	92.4%
HOU 108, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.01,0	92.3%