NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Excitement	10.0 [59]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +18.4%
Utah Jazz	108		Comeback	4.2 [56]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -26.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonny Flynn	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,0.17	0.11	0.09	0.03	19	68%	0.31	4	-0.14	3	67%	-0.04
Damien Wilkins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.06	0.00	4	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	16	55%	0.18	3	-0.15	10	50%	-0.15
Wayne Ellington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Oleksiy Pecherov	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	57%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Corey Brewer	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.09,-0.09	0.07	-0.15	0.01	15	61%	-0.04	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.16	0.00	4	67%	0.23	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.08	0.08	0.20	-0.11	0.02	20	66%	0.10	1	-0.02	18	78%	-0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	8	44%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.10	-0.01	9	62%	0.10	1	-0.13	3	33%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.11	0.01	9	65%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.27	-0.27	-0.09	-0.19	-0.01	15	42%	-0.01	4	-0.26	3	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	32.3	15.7	27.5	1.8	43.9	150.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +15.9%

UTA -1.1%

MIN +34.9%

MIN +1.8%

UTA -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	14.2	14.9	15.3	111.1	109.1	106.0
season	14.7	15.3		100.1	109.5
opponent	15.0	14.8		104.5	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.2	14.0	13.1	16.2	14.2
UTA	15.0	14.8	17.6	12.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonny Flynn	61	62	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.53	11	-9	20	12.9	16.1	-3.17	15.6	13.8	1.85
Kevin Love	71	71	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	-5	12	14.2	14.0	0.21	15.2	14.2	1.06
Damien Wilkins	67	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	-2	6	14.0	14.5	-0.47	15.5	13.8	1.64
Wayne Ellington	25	27	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.36	-2	4	-6	15.1	13.8	1.30	13.0	15.7	-2.62
Corey Brewer	74	72	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	-2	6	13.8	15.1	-1.30	15.7	13.0	2.62
Sasha Pavlovic	33	33	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	4	-6	14.0	14.2	-0.18	13.8	15.5	-1.64
Ryan Hollins	7	7	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	-4	10	11.1	14.4	-3.24	21.1	14.5	6.68
Al Jefferson	79	78	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.37	-10	12	-22	14.7	12.0	2.70	14.4	16.9	-2.49
Oleksiy Pecherov	40	42	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	1	0	13.8	14.4	-0.51	14.4	15.4	-0.97
Ramon Sessions	38	37	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.09	-9	11	-20	16.1	12.9	3.17	13.8	15.6	-1.85

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	26	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.08	-1	-1	0	15.2	14.8	0.34	13.8	14.3	-0.51
Eric Maynor	15	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	4	-10	16.1	14.7	1.41	12.0	14.5	-2.54
Paul Millsap	49	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.38	8	-10	18	13.8	16.0	-2.22	14.6	13.7	0.83
Carlos Boozer	75	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-2	2	15.0	14.8	0.14	14.4	13.4	0.99
Ronnie Brewer	72	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	4	-10	15.7	13.0	2.62	14.1	14.2	-0.04
Kyrylo Fesenko	17	16	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	3	-8	15.9	14.7	1.21	13.4	14.3	-0.93
Wesley Matthews	68	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.35	1	-3	4	14.6	15.6	-0.98	14.4	13.6	0.78
Andrei Kirilenko	32	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.38	2	-4	6	13.8	15.5	-1.71	14.0	14.2	-0.27
Deron Williams	84	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.48	4	-6	10	14.7	16.1	-1.41	14.5	12.0	2.54
Mehmet Okur	57	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	5	-12	15.6	14.1	1.47	13.7	14.7	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.41,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.4,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 97, ORL 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.74,0.7,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.3,0.41,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.55,0.27,0	92.2%
BOS 110, ATL 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.59,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.67,0.27,0	91.8%
IND 78, MIA 75	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.43,0	91.0%