NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	113		Excitement	13.6 [5]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +48.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	115		Comeback	17.6 [50]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -44.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bison Dele	0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32	-0.00	0.31	-0.01	17	59%	0.58	4	-0.27	3	67%	0.07
Lindsey Hunter	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.04	0.18	-0.00	11	64%	0.29	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08	0.15	-0.05	0.02	20	65%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Malik Sealy	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06	-0.06	0.11	0.00	8	48%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.12
Don Reid	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	86%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Rick Mahorn	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	3	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	8	41%	-0.03	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Grant Hill	-0.45	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.33,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.49,-0.42,-0.42,-0.4,-0.45,-0.45	-0.13	-0.30	0.02	19	43%	-0.35	4	-0.10	6	50%	-0.08

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.49	0.49	0.05	0.44	-0.00	22	57%	0.56	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.33,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.28,0.28	0.28	-0.05	0.32	-0.01	23	49%	0.36	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.04
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.04	0.20	-0.00	10	64%	0.29	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.02	0.17	-0.00	2	50%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.07	0.02	12	58%	0.03	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Stanley Roberts	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	8	33%	-0.10	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04
Sam Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	18	45%	-0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	26.6	19.0	31.2	2.7	42.3	1.5	18.0	2.5	20.4	188.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +68.2%

DET -34.7%

MIN +6.1%

MIN +11.2%

DET -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIN	NBA	DET	MIN	NBA
this game	16.1	16.7	15.6	106.6	108.5	102.5
season	15.9	14.8		102.8	105.3
opponent	15.7	15.9		104.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	16.8	15.1	15.2	17.6	15.0	16.1
MIN	14.5	17.6	16.1	18.4	16.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	74	77	0.55	-1.05	1.59	0.22	11	-13	24	15.7	17.0	-1.25	16.6	17.1	-0.46
Don Reid	41	40	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.11	5	-7	12	15.9	16.2	-0.31	16.5	16.9	-0.34
Rick Mahorn	24	23	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-2	2	15.6	16.2	-0.61	15.3	17.1	-1.83
Malik Sealy	27	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	0	-2	15.4	16.3	-0.97	16.5	16.8	-0.28
Jerry Stackhouse	46	44	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	7	-16	15.8	16.3	-0.59	15.0	18.0	-2.97
Grant Hill	84	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.54	0	-2	2	16.2	15.7	0.46	17.0	15.6	1.45
Bison Dele	82	83	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.53	-2	0	-2	16.2	15.6	0.61	17.1	15.3	1.83
Jerome Williams	65	66	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.42	-7	5	-12	16.2	15.9	0.31	16.9	16.5	0.34
Joe Dumars	78	79	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.53	-4	2	-6	16.7	14.3	2.46	17.4	14.9	2.48

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Porter	70	69	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.59	3	-1	4	17.1	16.0	1.07	16.0	16.4	-0.39
Sam Mitchell	70	73	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.51	5	-3	8	16.8	16.6	0.19	16.3	15.5	0.80
Tom Hammonds	58	54	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	-1	4	17.6	15.7	1.80	16.8	15.4	1.36
Kevin Garnett	90	89	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.46	1	1	0	16.8	16.1	0.72	16.3	15.1	1.16
Stephon Marbury	94	94	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.46	-4	6	-10	16.8	16.2	0.55	16.2	15.2	1.05
Cherokee Parks	19	24	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.21	2	0	2	15.6	17.0	-1.35	14.0	16.7	-2.65
Chris Carr	23	24	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-2	6	16.9	16.7	0.17	15.2	16.4	-1.20
Anthony Peeler	41	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.15	2	0	2	15.7	17.4	-1.76	16.2	16.0	0.16
Stanley Roberts	55	52	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.27	-6	8	-14	16.2	17.3	-1.08	16.2	16.0	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.1,0.1,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.29,0.41,0.16,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 100, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.22,0.16,0.54,0.45,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.71,0.68,0.73,1	87.9%
CHA 106, CLE 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.34,0.58,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.72,0.91,1,1	87.8%
CHA 109, BOS 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.26,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.55,0.58,1	87.4%