NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	109		Excitement	11.8 [18]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +76.5%
Boston Celtics	111		Comeback	55.5 [17]		LVP	Raja Bell (CHA): -36.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.18	-0.01	0.18	-0.01	10	60%	0.25	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	10	70%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.08	-0.02	18	50%	0.20	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.06
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Boris Diaw	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.03,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14	0.02	-0.16	0.00	13	65%	0.07	4	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.14,-0.21	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	20	35%	-0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.37	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.37	-0.06	-0.29	0.02	14	41%	-0.29	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.32,0.32,0.76	0.76	0.06	0.71	0.01	20	52%	0.80	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.15	0.16	0.02	10	90%	0.31	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	20	62%	0.24	3	-0.13	12	92%	0.06
Henry Walker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	16	58%	0.20	5	-0.22	4	50%	0.06
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	4	36%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.12	-0.17	0.01	3	67%	-0.03	7	-0.27	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	29.3	15.5	25.8	1.7	32.3	1.6	12.6	1.8	14.4	162.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +98.5%

BOS +23.7%

CHA -61.5%

CHA -10.1%

CHA -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BOS	NBA	CHA	BOS	NBA
this game	17.9	15.9	15.5	104.8	108.8	106.4
season	16.5	15.8		103.0	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		101.7	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	12.9	22.0	15.0	20.0	21.8	17.9
BOS	16.6	15.1	17.7	14.3	15.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	38	38	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.15	-4	2	-6	17.7	18.0	-0.35	15.5	16.1	-0.62
Cartier Martin	7	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.11	-5	3	-8	23.9	17.5	6.38	18.7	15.7	2.98
D.J. Augustin	33	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.25	-11	9	-20	18.6	17.6	1.07	16.0	15.8	0.20
DeSagana Diop	27	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.25	-12	10	-22	18.5	17.7	0.78	15.4	16.0	-0.59
Juwan Howard	19	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	8	-18	22.0	17.0	5.01	15.1	16.0	-0.95
Gerald Wallace	67	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.66	13	-15	28	17.4	18.7	-1.28	15.9	15.9	0.00
Raymond Felton	90	88	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.55	6	-8	14	17.4	21.1	-3.74	15.7	16.9	-1.24
Emeka Okafor	77	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.73	10	-12	22	17.7	18.5	-0.78	16.0	15.4	0.59
Raja Bell	85	85	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.55	1	-3	4	18.2	16.8	1.36	16.0	15.2	0.75
Boris Diaw	77	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.58	2	-4	6	16.9	20.9	-4.03	16.0	15.4	0.65

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	52	55	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.31	18	-16	34	15.3	16.4	-1.13	20.4	15.1	5.22
Ray Allen	79	81	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.59	7	-5	12	15.9	15.7	0.27	18.5	15.7	2.78
Kendrick Perkins	84	86	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.62	-3	5	-8	16.2	14.1	2.19	17.9	17.9	-0.05
Rajon Rondo	72	71	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.56	-2	4	-6	15.6	16.5	-0.95	16.7	20.5	-3.74
Paul Pierce	80	79	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.65	-6	8	-14	15.6	16.9	-1.28	16.4	22.7	-6.29
Mikki Moore	22	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.13	5	-3	8	15.6	15.9	-0.35	19.3	17.5	1.85
Glen Davis	73	72	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.11	-2	4	-6	16.2	14.9	1.35	16.7	20.7	-4.02
Henry Walker	5	6	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.06	-4	6	-10	14.2	15.9	-1.75	14.7	18.1	-3.44
Stephon Marbury	31	31	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.21	-3	5	-8	16.2	15.7	0.48	17.3	18.2	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.26,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 105, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0	88.1%
LAL 118, MIL 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.45,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0	87.9%
ATL 89, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.21,0.23,0.15,0	87.7%