NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	118		Excitement	6.4 [556]		MVP	Shannon Brown (LAL): +19.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	107		Comeback	2.4 [590]		LVP	Luc Mbah a Moute (MIL): -12.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shannon Brown	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.04	9	100%	0.25	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	90%	0.15	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	23	54%	0.16	3	-0.08	11	100%	0.08
Steve Blake	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	11	54%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Devin Ebanks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.04	13	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.08	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.04	0.04	11	85%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	10	54%	0.06	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.02
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.06	13	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	10	20%	-0.14
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.08	-0.08	0.08	26	56%	0.02	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	13	38%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	27.7	15.8	29.2	2.5	32.6	132.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +41.6%

LAL +21.3%

MIL -15.8%

LAL +3.2%

MIL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIL	NBA	LAL	MIL	NBA
this game	14.5	16.4	15.5	126.9	115.1	105.7
season	15.9	16.2		108.8	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		100.9	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.4	13.0	13.1	16.2	14.5
MIL	16.4	14.7	16.2	19.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	84	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-4	19	14.5	14.7	-0.14	16.5	16.0	0.48
Steve Blake	44	45	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	1	9	14.4	14.6	-0.20	15.8	17.0	-1.13
Shannon Brown	41	42	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	3	5	15.0	14.2	0.78	16.3	16.5	-0.18
Matt Barnes	52	55	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	10	-9	14.3	14.9	-0.57	15.8	17.3	-1.54
Luke Walton	14	14	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	5	1	14.3	14.6	-0.30	19.4	15.9	3.45
Kobe Bryant	65	63	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	8	-5	14.7	14.2	0.46	16.3	16.6	-0.25
Lamar Odom	71	71	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	8	-5	14.2	15.7	-1.50	17.0	14.7	2.23
Metta World Peace	35	32	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	4	3	14.5	14.6	-0.04	17.2	16.0	1.11
Derek Fisher	49	48	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	10	-9	14.6	14.4	0.20	17.0	15.8	1.13
Devin Ebanks	10	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	10	-9	16.2	14.3	1.86	11.2	17.2	-5.95

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Sanders	10	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-9	7	11.0	17.1	-6.08	14.8	14.5	0.27
Keyon Dooling	35	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-9	7	16.3	16.5	-0.19	14.5	14.6	-0.11
Drew Gooden	60	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-9	7	16.9	15.6	1.32	15.3	12.9	2.42
Ersan Ilyasova	33	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-4	-3	15.6	16.9	-1.23	13.8	14.9	-1.09
John Salmons	69	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-8	5	16.2	17.1	-0.88	14.7	14.1	0.53
Earl Boykins	27	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-1	-9	16.2	16.5	-0.29	14.2	14.7	-0.48
Brandon Jennings	72	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-8	5	17.3	13.4	3.88	14.7	13.8	0.88
Luc Mbah a Moute	45	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-4	-3	17.6	15.4	2.18	14.2	14.9	-0.74
Corey Maggette	33	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	1	-13	13.6	18.0	-4.38	14.0	14.8	-0.79
Andrew Bogut	81	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-4	-3	17.1	11.7	5.47	14.5	15.2	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.45,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 96, HOU 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
WAS 105, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.29,0.19,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
TOR 94, PHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.41,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.8%