NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	94		Excitement	4.8 [876]		MVP	Anthony Parker (TOR): +10.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	85		Comeback	1.8 [687]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -8.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.02	8	71%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.01	3	77%	0.09	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Chris Bosh	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	17	55%	0.11	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	46%	-0.00	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
T.J. Ford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	11	46%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.05	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.05	5	70%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.02	-0.04	11	42%	0.04	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	11	36%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	14	40%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	0.07	12	62%	0.03	5	-0.12	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.6	29.6	14.7	24.2	1.7	34.0	128.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +22.5%

TOR +11.8%

PHI -7.2%

TOR +18.2%

TOR +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	16.2	14.8	15.4	101.1	91.4	104.5
season	15.2	15.5		104.7	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.2	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.4	17.1	16.2	16.0	16.2
PHI	16.6	14.2	15.1	13.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joey Graham	62	61	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.10	18	-9	27	16.4	15.8	0.52	15.7	13.0	2.67
Kris Humphries	43	43	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.17	13	-4	17	15.0	17.2	-2.11	14.7	14.9	-0.21
Anthony Parker	65	64	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-2	13	16.1	16.3	-0.15	15.0	14.2	0.79
Chris Bosh	84	83	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	0	9	16.1	16.7	-0.54	14.6	16.2	-1.59
Jose Calderon	42	44	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	1	7	15.5	16.7	-1.20	14.2	15.3	-1.06
T.J. Ford	51	49	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	8	-7	16.7	15.5	1.20	15.3	14.2	1.06
Luke Jackson	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	12	-15	15.0	16.2	-1.20	12.0	14.8	-2.85
Morris Peterson	28	28	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	13	-17	16.1	16.2	-0.06	14.0	15.1	-1.07
Juan Dixon	48	51	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.20	-7	16	-23	16.3	16.0	0.31	13.4	16.5	-3.08
Rasho Nesterovic	18	18	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.01	-6	15	-21	19.4	15.4	3.98	15.1	14.7	0.34

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Carney	20	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-14	19	13.4	15.2	-1.70	15.9	16.2	-0.30
Bobby Jones	11	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-9	9	13.5	15.0	-1.41	16.6	16.1	0.48
Willie Green	57	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-10	11	14.8	14.8	-0.08	16.1	16.3	-0.18
Lou Williams	26	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-9	9	13.7	15.2	-1.52	15.0	16.6	-1.54
Joe Smith	30	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-5	1	13.3	15.5	-2.24	15.0	16.7	-1.67
Samuel Dalembert	66	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-2	-5	15.4	13.4	1.99	16.6	14.9	1.76
Steven Hunter	46	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	3	-15	16.5	13.1	3.31	16.7	15.7	0.93
Andre Miller	69	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	0	-9	15.4	13.0	2.35	16.5	15.1	1.34
Kyle Korver	54	53	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.27	-7	-2	-5	13.8	16.2	-2.40	16.1	16.3	-0.25
Andre Iguodala	86	87	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.14	-12	3	-15	14.9	12.9	2.08	16.1	17.0	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.41,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 118, MIL 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.45,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.8%
GSW 95, SAC 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
CHI 105, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%