NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	95		Excitement	5.8 [646]		MVP	Marreese Speights (GSW): +9.7%
Sacramento Kings	77		Comeback	1.9 [712]		LVP	Ramon Sessions (SAC): -15.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.05	-0.03	13	62%	0.16	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ognjen Kuzmic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.04	17	56%	0.04	4	-0.10	9	89%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Andre Iguodala	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	6	14%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Klay Thompson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	14	50%	0.02	5	-0.13	10	90%	0.04
Draymond Green	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	0.05	7	67%	0.02	5	-0.15	4	50%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ray McCallum	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	10	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	15	40%	-0.02	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	0.04	12	43%	-0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.04
Jason Thompson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	14	43%	-0.04	6	-0.10	18	67%	-0.05
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	3	43%	0.01	4	-0.16	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.0	39.3	15.5	34.5	2.3	27.3	147.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +40.8%

SAC -2.7%

SAC -5.1%

GSW +13.4%

GSW +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAC	NBA	GSW	SAC	NBA
this game	13.2	14.3	15.1	90.5	73.3	104.2
season	13.6	14.9		109.2	103.7
opponent	14.8	15.5		107.6	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.7	13.4	10.4	16.8	13.2
SAC	13.9	13.3	15.3	14.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	64	63	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.05	25	-7	32	12.5	14.2	-1.76	15.0	13.2	1.82
Draymond Green	78	79	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	-4	26	12.8	14.1	-1.31	13.5	16.5	-3.03
Harrison Barnes	65	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	6	6	12.4	14.3	-1.90	13.8	15.1	-1.37
Stephen Curry	82	83	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.15	20	-2	22	12.6	15.2	-2.56	14.0	15.1	-1.05
Klay Thompson	81	83	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.23	21	-3	24	13.9	10.6	3.30	13.9	15.6	-1.74
Leandro Barbosa	31	30	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	16	-14	12.2	13.6	-1.34	16.0	13.6	2.44
Marreese Speights	38	38	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	19	-20	13.7	12.9	0.80	14.7	14.0	0.63
Andrew Bogut	38	37	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.20	11	7	4	15.5	11.9	3.61	13.6	14.6	-1.06
Shaun Livingston	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	20	-22	14.5	13.1	1.44	14.7	14.2	0.53
Festus Ezeli	14	15	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	19	-20	14.5	13.0	1.53	17.7	13.7	3.98
Justin Holiday	9	7	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.09	-9	27	-36	14.9	13.0	1.88	17.3	14.0	3.24
Ognjen Kuzmic	17	15	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.02	-10	28	-38	12.0	13.4	-1.40	12.7	14.5	-1.78

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	60	58	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.02	2	-20	22	12.9	16.0	-3.05	14.1	12.0	2.16
Reggie Evans	12	13	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-21	24	19.2	13.6	5.54	14.2	13.0	1.12
Ray McCallum	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	12.0	14.3	-2.30	17.0	13.1	3.94
Ryan Hollins	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	12.0	14.3	-2.30	17.0	13.1	3.94
DeMarcus Cousins	70	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-11	4	12.8	17.2	-4.46	13.8	11.8	2.01
Darren Collison	81	80	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-13	8	13.3	17.5	-4.15	13.8	11.0	2.80
Jason Thompson	49	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-9	0	13.9	14.6	-0.75	13.4	13.0	0.34
Carl Landry	38	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-15	12	15.9	13.3	2.53	11.2	14.3	-3.17
Rudy Gay	75	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-8	-2	13.6	15.8	-2.16	13.6	12.0	1.59
Omri Casspi	33	32	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	-6	-6	14.4	14.2	0.20	14.0	12.8	1.19
Ramon Sessions	21	21	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	-6	-6	17.3	13.5	3.79	10.5	13.8	-3.37
Derrick Williams	26	27	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	-2	-14	17.4	13.2	4.16	10.9	14.0	-3.07
Nik Stauskas	56	57	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.05	-19	1	-20	15.4	12.9	2.47	12.0	14.5	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, GSW 69	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.1%
DEN 101, NOH 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
MIA 109, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0	94.1%