NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	101		Excitement	4.5 [925]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DEN): +20.6%
New Orleans Hornets	88		Comeback	1.2 [439]		LVP	David West (NOH): -12.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.19	0.04	0.03	13	79%	0.23	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
J.R. Smith	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.03	12	62%	0.13	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	64%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	24	52%	0.07	3	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Johan Petro	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	71%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Linas Kleiza	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	13	23%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	43%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.06	4	38%	0.05	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	7	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	59%	0.02	6	-0.06	10	90%	0.03
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	2	83%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	19	41%	-0.05	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	30.6	16.4	32.4	2.5	27.2	137.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +27.2%

DEN +1.8%

DEN +7.1%

DEN +13.0%

DEN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NOH	NBA	DEN	NOH	NBA
this game	15.9	15.9	15.5	109.8	98.9	106.4
season	14.4	16.6		109.5	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.7		106.0	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.0	16.0	16.1	20.5	15.9
NOH	17.5	14.0	15.9	16.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	79	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-3	19	16.0	15.6	0.37	15.8	16.6	-0.85
Chauncey Billups	80	77	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-5	23	15.8	16.6	-0.75	15.5	18.2	-2.73
Carmelo Anthony	71	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	2	9	15.7	16.8	-1.07	15.8	16.3	-0.52
J.R. Smith	42	41	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	-3	19	17.7	14.5	3.19	16.0	15.8	0.12
Chris Andersen	51	51	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	8	-3	18.1	13.2	4.85	15.5	16.4	-0.98
Johan Petro	29	29	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	8	-3	13.7	17.0	-3.28	17.7	15.0	2.72
Dahntay Jones	35	33	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	10	-7	13.4	17.5	-4.09	16.7	15.4	1.33
Anthony Carter	38	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	14	-15	17.6	14.7	2.89	15.9	15.9	0.01
Renaldo Balkman	23	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	14	-15	14.0	16.6	-2.58	15.5	16.0	-0.44
Linas Kleiza	12	12	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.08	-7	20	-27	13.6	16.3	-2.70	15.1	16.0	-0.93

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	17	16	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.08	6	-19	25	15.7	15.9	-0.22	15.1	16.1	-0.98
Ryan Bowen	10	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-12	11	15.8	15.9	-0.10	14.0	16.2	-2.17
Hilton Armstrong	47	49	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-10	7	16.0	15.7	0.33	15.1	16.8	-1.69
Morris Peterson	39	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-14	15	14.5	16.9	-2.40	17.7	14.4	3.32
James Posey	58	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-8	3	15.2	17.2	-2.00	16.4	15.0	1.48
Sean Marks	27	27	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-7	1	15.8	15.9	-0.16	14.4	16.6	-2.11
Rasual Butler	56	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	1	-15	16.6	14.7	1.89	15.2	17.1	-1.92
Julian Wright	43	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.04	-14	1	-15	16.5	15.3	1.16	16.1	15.8	0.26
David West	76	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.16	-10	-3	-7	16.2	14.0	2.21	16.3	14.0	2.28
Chris Paul	72	76	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.04	-19	6	-25	15.9	15.7	0.22	16.1	15.1	0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 106, SAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
PHX 87, GSW 69	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.5%
IND 98, DET 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.5%