NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	106		Excitement	4.8 [891]		MVP	Blake Griffin (DET): +15.2%
Sacramento Kings	90		Comeback	1.3 [859]		LVP	Andre Drummond (DET): -12.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	-0.01	18	62%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	60%	0.08	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.02	0.06	13	65%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	55%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
James Ennis III	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.01	3	40%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Luke Kennard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.13	0.01	0.11	10	82%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dwight Buycks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	7	25%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.01	0.06	9	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	15	65%	0.12	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	41%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Bruno Caboclo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	11	64%	0.02	3	-0.05	3	0%	-0.07
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	10	45%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	10	10%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.0	27.2	14.5	24.6	0.1	24.5	116.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +22.7%

DET +17.5%

DET +1.3%

DET +10.0%

SAC -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	SAC	NBA	DET	SAC	NBA
this game	16.1	14.5	14.7	112.8	95.7	107.5
season	14.9	15.4		106.4	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.1	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.9	19.4	16.0	15.6	16.1
SAC	14.9	14.2	14.0	15.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ish Smith	68	67	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	3	10	16.6	14.8	1.78	14.0	15.9	-1.94
Reggie Bullock	63	63	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	1	14	15.9	16.5	-0.58	13.7	16.3	-2.66
Stanley Johnson	49	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	4	8	16.1	16.1	-0.03	14.6	14.5	0.17
Andre Drummond	59	58	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	4	8	15.7	16.7	-0.94	16.1	12.1	3.94
Blake Griffin	72	71	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.03	14	2	12	16.4	15.0	1.43	13.5	17.8	-4.29
Anthony Tolliver	56	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	10	-4	16.1	16.1	0.03	14.2	15.2	-1.01
Luke Kennard	52	52	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	11	-6	16.7	15.3	1.42	14.5	14.6	-0.18
Dwight Buycks	26	27	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	13	-10	14.8	16.6	-1.78	15.9	14.0	1.94
James Ennis III	25	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	16	-16	15.1	16.4	-1.33	17.0	13.6	3.45

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Caboclo	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	24.0	14.4	9.56	12.0	16.1	-4.14
Frank Mason	30	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-15	14	16.3	13.7	2.53	15.4	16.4	-0.94
Vince Carter	32	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-13	10	16.2	13.7	2.59	16.5	15.9	0.66
Garrett Temple	42	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-12	8	15.6	13.7	1.90	16.4	15.8	0.60
Kosta Koufos	34	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-11	6	15.8	13.8	2.01	14.9	16.8	-1.85
Skal Labissiere	51	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-14	12	14.1	15.0	-0.89	16.3	15.9	0.35
Zach Randolph	30	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-6	-4	15.0	14.3	0.67	15.7	16.3	-0.58
Willie Cauley-Stein	60	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-5	-6	13.8	15.8	-2.01	16.8	14.9	1.85
Buddy Hield	65	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	0	-16	14.0	15.8	-1.86	15.9	16.4	-0.51
Justin Jackson	62	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	-3	-10	13.7	16.2	-2.59	15.9	16.5	-0.66
De'Aaron Fox	63	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	-2	-12	13.6	16.5	-2.94	16.5	15.3	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 101, NOH 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
HOU 81, NOH 68	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%
IND 109, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.35,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%