NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	81		Excitement	4.8 [890]		MVP	Scott Padgett (HOU): +10.4%
New Orleans Hornets	68		Comeback	1.4 [515]		LVP	Dan Dickau (NOH): -21.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Padgett	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.03	-0.03	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Torraye Braggs	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	14	59%	0.09	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Tracy McGrady	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mike James	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	13	23%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	11	9%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	13	41%	-0.04	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Jackson Vroman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	15	49%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	8	37%	-0.00	3	-0.07	3	33%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	12	32%	-0.07	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	8	61%	0.02	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.20	-0.04	-0.03	12	19%	-0.17	3	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	29.4	15.6	25.1	2.5	27.5	129.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +33.1%

HOU +6.4%

HOU +6.6%

HOU +6.2%

NOH -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NOH	NBA	HOU	NOH	NBA
this game	17.5	15.2	15.5	92.0	77.3	104.0
season	16.0	16.5		104.2	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.8		105.2	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.8	16.5	17.8	18.0	17.5
NOH	14.3	17.0	14.9	14.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	71	73	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.01	18	-5	23	17.4	18.2	-0.78	14.5	18.3	-3.80
Dikembe Mutombo	38	39	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.14	12	1	11	17.5	17.6	-0.03	15.6	14.8	0.82
David Wesley	67	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-2	17	17.9	16.3	1.65	14.7	16.8	-2.08
Jon Barry	41	43	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	8	-3	18.3	16.9	1.40	14.9	15.4	-0.54
Clar. Weatherspoon	47	45	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	5	3	16.9	18.3	-1.40	15.4	14.9	0.54
Scott Padgett	45	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	9	-5	18.2	16.9	1.29	14.9	15.5	-0.65
Ryan Bowen	40	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	12	-11	17.4	17.6	-0.18	16.1	14.6	1.53
Tracy McGrady	6	7	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	9	-5	14.7	17.8	-3.09	16.7	15.0	1.66
Mike James	39	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	17	-21	16.9	18.1	-1.16	16.5	14.2	2.27
Yao Ming	45	45	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.07	4	9	-5	17.7	17.3	0.38	15.0	15.3	-0.28
Torraye Braggs	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	12.0	17.6	-5.61	6.0	15.3	-9.29

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jackson Vroman	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-12	11	6.7	15.5	-8.82	17.7	17.5	0.21
Bostjan Nachbar	14	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-11	9	13.6	15.5	-1.83	18.2	17.4	0.71
Jamaal Magloire	49	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-9	5	16.7	13.3	3.37	16.7	18.7	-2.01
J.R. Smith	59	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-6	-1	14.5	16.6	-2.15	17.6	17.5	0.02
David West	29	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-5	-3	16.2	14.7	1.58	16.4	18.1	-1.64
Lee Nailon	60	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-9	5	16.3	12.7	3.57	17.0	18.9	-1.94
George Lynch	14	14	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-6	-1	11.9	15.8	-3.95	19.6	17.2	2.41
P.J. Brown	56	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-9	5	15.1	15.3	-0.25	18.1	16.6	1.50
Dan Dickau	71	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-4	-5	16.0	11.7	4.31	16.6	21.1	-4.48
Casey Jacobsen	46	48	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.16	-10	-3	-7	14.8	15.6	-0.79	18.9	15.9	2.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 99, MIL 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.3%
PHI 105, CHA 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.8%
DET 106, SAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%