NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	99		Excitement	4.7 [898]		MVP	Kelly Oubre Jr. (WAS): +13.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	88		Comeback	1.7 [387]		LVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -12.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.19	0.00	0.06	8	95%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.01	16	68%	0.22	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Jodie Meeks	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	4	55%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	8	69%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	13	48%	0.04	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	10	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Snell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Liggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	13	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	13	47%	0.02	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.02	-0.04	0.10	21	45%	-0.13	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.6	25.8	14.8	21.6	2.0	30.0	119.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +53.3%

WAS +3.4%

WAS +13.2%

MIL -17.5%

MIL -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIL	NBA	WAS	MIL	NBA
this game	17.3	14.5	14.7	108.8	97.8	107.5
season	14.8	14.3		108.2	108.5
opponent	15.4	14.7		108.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.0	17.8	18.2	18.4	17.3
MIL	15.0	14.3	16.1	12.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter Jr.	73	72	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.01	22	-11	33	16.7	19.4	-2.72	15.5	10.6	4.92
Tim Frazier	31	30	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	3	5	16.5	17.7	-1.18	16.0	13.8	2.23
Bradley Beal	70	70	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.21	3	8	-5	17.7	15.8	1.89	13.9	16.9	-3.03
Marcin Gortat	69	67	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	6	-1	17.1	17.7	-0.61	14.1	15.7	-1.60
Jodie Meeks	35	34	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	7	-3	17.9	16.8	1.10	15.7	13.9	1.82
Ian Mahinmi	22	23	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	5	1	17.7	17.1	0.61	15.7	14.1	1.60
Kelly Oubre Jr.	45	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	10	-9	17.3	17.2	0.14	14.5	14.6	-0.06
John Wall	60	60	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	8	-5	17.7	16.5	1.18	13.8	16.0	-2.23
Markieff Morris	50	51	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	8	-5	16.9	17.7	-0.81	13.4	16.1	-2.75

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	69	69	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-12	13	14.1	15.9	-1.71	16.9	18.3	-1.33
John Henson	50	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-7	3	14.1	15.1	-0.95	17.2	17.4	-0.19
Gary Payton II	27	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-8	5	13.0	15.2	-2.26	19.9	16.2	3.68
Khris Middleton	74	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-11	11	13.4	19.7	-6.33	18.0	13.7	4.34
Thon Maker	37	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-7	3	15.4	13.9	1.46	17.3	17.3	-0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	31	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	1	-13	18.1	12.7	5.37	15.0	18.4	-3.38
Tony Snell	58	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-6	1	14.4	14.9	-0.51	17.7	16.5	1.22
Giannis Antetokounmpo	74	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	1	-13	13.9	17.4	-3.44	17.0	18.6	-1.63
DeAndre Liggins	30	31	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	5	-21	17.5	13.0	4.48	16.0	17.9	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 81, NOH 68	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.3%
DAL 107, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.19,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%
TOR 95, BOS 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.01,0	93.8%