inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 107 Excitement5.8 [670] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +30.7%
Los Angeles Lakers 95 Comeback1.5 [995] LVPVince Carter (DAL): -20.0%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0.310,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.310.190.12-0.001482%0.352-0.04580%0.01
Brandan Wright0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.220.060.0410100%0.261-0.023100%0.01
Samuel Dalembert0.130,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.040.00970%0.1300.002100%0.01
Jose Calderon0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.01-0.00-0.051148%0.071-0.031100%0.00
Shawn Marion0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.011454%0.063-0.0600%0.00
Devin Harris-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.04-0.02844%0.053-0.0600%0.00
Jae Crowder-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01325%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Wayne Ellington-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Monta Ellis-0.180,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.14-0.07-0.031329%-0.093-0.092100%0.00
Vince Carter-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.19-0.04-0.0380%-0.143-0.0600%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jodie Meeks0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.150.020.011771%0.222-0.071100%0.01
Nick Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.010.00874%0.132-0.05367%-0.01
Jordan Hill0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.010.011054%0.021-0.02667%-0.01
Kendall Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.00950%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Wesley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.140.02-0.091322%0.012-0.0410%-0.01
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.020.031148%-0.021-0.025100%0.01
Robert Sacre0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01639%-0.011-0.04683%0.02
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00367%0.024-0.0800%0.00
Ryan Kelly0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01621%-0.061-0.03250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.428.315.424.72.626.3122.2
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +33.0%
LAL -2.1%
DAL +19.7%
LAL -1.8%
DAL +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALLALNBADALLALNBA
this game17.311.915.1108.196.9105.2
season15.314.0109.0102.9
opponent14.815.0108.9107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.818.616.919.217.3
LAL12.311.011.912.611.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki66650.66-0.160.83-0.0123-113418.115.52.5912.810.22.60
Monta Ellis71680.460.040.430.111201217.616.51.0312.111.50.58
Jae Crowder42400.440.060.380.15102817.517.10.4412.011.90.19
Devin Harris52510.360.140.220.1675216.218.5-2.2811.512.5-1.02
Brandan Wright56550.310.190.120.1757-217.117.5-0.3411.712.3-0.61
Samuel Dalembert43430.190.31-0.12-0.0275217.517.10.3412.311.70.61
Jose Calderon55560.110.39-0.270.0339-618.615.62.9512.311.50.77
Wayne Ellington11110.050.45-0.40-0.01210-815.917.4-1.5311.712.0-0.24
Shawn Marion63650.040.46-0.420.07-113-1416.918.0-1.1411.812.2-0.37
Vince Carter3636-0.140.64-0.770.10-820-2815.518.3-2.7410.412.9-2.49

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Sacre3739-0.17-0.330.17-0.08-3-9611.112.4-1.3315.318.6-3.28
Ryan Kelly3133-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-5-7211.612.1-0.4816.017.9-1.91
Kendall Marshall5757-0.21-0.290.07-0.07-5-7212.311.40.9418.515.53.00
Wesley Johnson6363-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.12-5-7212.411.11.2818.016.02.04
Kent Bazemore7373-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.05-8-4-412.211.11.1018.314.53.81
Steve Nash4142-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.08-7-5-211.412.3-0.9415.518.5-3.00
Jordan Hill6160-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.07-9-3-612.411.11.3318.615.33.28
Nick Young4444-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.09-9-3-611.212.5-1.2515.918.4-2.54
Jodie Meeks8384-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.12-9-3-611.812.5-0.7017.118.3-1.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.19,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 99, MIL 880.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,094.0%
TOR 112, PHI 900.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.63,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.22,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,093.8%
NYK 101, HOU 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,093.6%