NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	112		Excitement	5.3 [749]		MVP	Doug Christie (TOR): +14.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	1.7 [474]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -23.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.09	0.00	24	58%	0.17	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.00	0.05	-0.05	9	60%	0.10	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Carlos Rogers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.01	0.07	14	71%	0.07	2	-0.07	6	33%	-0.01
Reggie Slater	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Clifford Rozier	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	23	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Sharone Wright	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.03	10	57%	0.00	5	-0.12	3	33%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	12	54%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Adrian Caldwell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bradtke	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	19	62%	0.06	3	-0.06	20	75%	-0.02
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.01	-0.06	13	39%	-0.05	5	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.21	-0.03	0.00	24	42%	-0.02	8	-0.21	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.6	23.2	14.5	25.4	2.4	29.3	118.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +30.6%

PHI -5.5%

TOR +23.1%

TOR +1.0%

TOR +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	14.5	13.3	15.6	108.7	86.5	104.4
season	16.1	14.7		102.2	101.4
opponent	14.7	15.0		108.4	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.5	17.8	14.3	13.1	14.5
PHI	14.2	15.0	12.9	11.7	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	103	104	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	0	22	14.5	0.0	14.50	13.3	0.0	13.34
Damon Stoudamire	103	104	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	0	22	14.5	0.0	14.50	13.3	0.0	13.34
Carlos Rogers	77	78	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	3	16	14.8	13.5	1.33	13.1	14.2	-1.14
Marcus Camby	63	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.20	20	2	18	14.0	15.3	-1.32	12.9	14.0	-1.01
Reggie Slater	31	30	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.10	15	7	8	17.3	13.3	3.95	13.8	13.1	0.70
Sharone Wright	34	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	18	-14	13.9	14.8	-0.96	13.3	13.4	-0.05
Popeye Jones	89	90	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	16	-10	13.9	18.3	-4.39	13.2	14.4	-1.18
Clifford Rozier	15	15	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	20	-18	14.2	14.5	-0.35	16.5	12.8	3.74

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Caldwell	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-18	14	13.0	13.4	-0.35	7.5	14.9	-7.43
Mark Bradtke	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-18	14	14.5	13.3	1.23	7.5	14.9	-7.43
Allen Iverson	101	100	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.21	-14	-8	-6	13.1	20.7	-7.55	14.4	16.0	-1.55
Scott Williams	50	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.19	-14	-8	-6	14.1	12.6	1.47	13.9	15.0	-1.04
Mark Hendrickson	32	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-14	6	12.4	13.7	-1.30	13.5	14.9	-1.49
Clar. Weatherspoon	74	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	-10	-2	13.5	13.0	0.52	14.9	13.4	1.56
Lucious Harris	27	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.04	-10	-12	2	13.2	13.4	-0.20	13.3	14.9	-1.59
Michael Cage	37	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-16	10	13.8	13.1	0.78	16.6	13.3	3.23
Jerry Stackhouse	98	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	-4	-14	13.3	14.5	-1.23	14.9	7.5	7.43
Mark Davis	90	89	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.05	-20	-2	-18	13.2	14.1	-0.93	14.8	12.5	2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.63,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.22,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.19,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%
CLE 95, GSW 67	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
HOU 100, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.46,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	93.6%