NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	6.4 [531]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +9.8%
Golden State Warriors	93		Comeback	1.5 [415]		LVP	Eddie Griffin (HOU): -15.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1	0.01	0.05	-0.04	22	57%	0.19	3	-0.09	10	70%	0.00
Steve Francis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	12	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Moochie Norris	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.10	0.07	-0.06	15	50%	0.14	4	-0.11	8	62%	-0.02
Kelvin Cato	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oscar Torres	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	7	14%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	58%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	10	52%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	22	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	1	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	13	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.16	-0.01	-0.08	23	34%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.5	26.7	15.0	23.3	2.4	39.2	130.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +56.9%

GSW -5.9%

HOU +11.5%

GSW -13.2%

HOU +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	17.8	14.4	15.6	111.1	104.5	102.3
season	16.8	14.7		100.9	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.2		106.2	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	22.2	15.9	18.1	15.6	17.8
GSW	13.4	16.1	15.5	12.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	57	55	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.15	15	-8	23	20.3	13.5	6.83	15.3	12.9	2.38
Moochie Norris	66	66	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.30	8	-1	9	16.6	21.1	-4.56	13.8	16.1	-2.36
Cuttino Mobley	86	86	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	0	7	18.0	14.0	3.95	14.2	18.3	-4.09
Eddie Griffin	55	55	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.37	-2	9	-11	19.0	15.8	3.19	14.5	14.1	0.43
Terence Morris	30	30	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	2	3	14.8	19.3	-4.52	13.7	14.7	-1.08
Walt Williams	65	63	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	3	1	17.4	18.8	-1.36	13.5	16.6	-3.10
Kelvin Cato	39	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	5	-3	18.9	16.9	1.93	14.9	14.0	0.87
Oscar Torres	18	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	7	-7	10.8	19.5	-8.75	13.4	14.6	-1.27
Steve Francis	24	23	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	8	-9	21.1	16.6	4.56	16.1	13.8	2.36
Kevin Willis	10	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.01	-3	10	-13	15.0	18.1	-3.13	17.1	14.0	3.09

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Jackson	18	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-10	13	18.7	13.3	5.44	17.3	17.9	-0.56
Mookie Blaylock	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-6	5	14.4	14.4	0.08	23.1	15.7	7.34
Adonal Foyle	22	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-2	-3	15.3	14.1	1.18	20.0	17.1	2.94
Bob Sura	40	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.21	1	-8	9	12.0	16.3	-4.28	18.9	16.8	2.11
Danny Fortson	49	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-1	-5	15.0	13.7	1.28	19.5	15.6	3.83
Troy Murphy	28	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-3	-1	16.1	13.6	2.46	17.9	17.7	0.16
Jason Richardson	66	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-3	-1	14.5	14.0	0.57	15.6	24.2	-8.59
Chris Mills	56	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-5	3	13.9	15.2	-1.22	17.3	18.6	-1.22
Antawn Jamison	78	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	1	-9	13.5	20.7	-7.24	17.7	18.2	-0.54
Larry Hughes	68	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	1	-9	13.9	15.8	-1.87	17.5	18.6	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.46,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 108, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0.01,0,0	95.3%
GSW 116, NOH 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
BOS 115, TOR 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.02,0,0,0	94.6%