NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	108		Excitement	5.5 [734]		MVP	Marquis Daniels (BOS): +15.6%
Boston Celtics	102		Comeback	1.4 [233]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -12.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	6	83%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.02	9	65%	0.15	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.05
Aaron Brooks	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.13	0.02	0.05	15	73%	0.18	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.00	6	108%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	5	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Jared Jeffries	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	44%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	0.01	-0.01	13	40%	0.01	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.02	0.03	8	90%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.03	0.03	13	70%	0.17	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.02	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Glen Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	14	41%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.04	0.04	12	57%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	21%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	8	50%	-0.04	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	30.3	15.5	24.5	2.3	39.7	140.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +45.4%

BOS -4.1%

HOU +14.1%

BOS -4.6%

BOS -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BOS	NBA	HOU	BOS	NBA
this game	15.8	16.8	15.5	120.0	117.2	105.7
season	15.2	15.7		109.5	104.8
opponent	15.8	14.9		99.6	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.6	17.6	13.2	18.6	15.8
BOS	15.4	17.5	16.3	18.4	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	71	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-5	16	15.1	18.5	-3.42	16.6	17.4	-0.77
Jared Jeffries	23	21	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.00	15	-9	24	16.0	15.7	0.36	17.4	16.6	0.79
Aaron Brooks	69	66	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	5	-4	16.1	14.8	1.26	16.9	16.4	0.53
Shane Battier	56	53	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	1	4	15.5	16.2	-0.74	16.8	16.8	0.03
Courtney Lee	49	47	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.30	-2	8	-10	17.3	14.0	3.27	16.5	17.1	-0.64
Patrick Patterson	32	29	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	4	-2	15.7	15.8	-0.09	17.9	16.2	1.67
Luis Scola	49	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	0	6	15.0	16.8	-1.80	16.5	17.2	-0.76
Chase Budinger	35	36	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	3	0	15.8	15.8	0.04	16.6	16.9	-0.29
Jordan Hill	66	64	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.39	-11	17	-28	15.9	15.4	0.49	16.7	17.1	-0.42

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Von Wafer	15	16	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.07	6	-12	18	18.1	16.5	1.63	17.9	15.3	2.63
Nate Robinson	29	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-7	8	16.1	17.1	-0.97	15.5	15.9	-0.37
Glen Davis	67	72	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-7	8	17.0	16.2	0.76	15.9	15.3	0.63
Jermaine O'Neal	39	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-4	2	16.8	16.7	0.12	16.5	15.2	1.30
Marquis Daniels	43	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-7	8	16.5	17.1	-0.58	17.5	14.1	3.46
Shaquille O'Neal	39	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	2	-10	17.0	16.6	0.35	14.3	16.9	-2.62
Luke Harangody	19	18	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-1	-4	16.8	16.8	0.01	15.3	15.9	-0.63
Paul Pierce	55	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	2	-10	17.2	16.1	1.14	15.2	16.7	-1.54
Rajon Rondo	69	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.20	-9	3	-12	16.7	17.3	-0.63	15.5	17.0	-1.53
Ray Allen	60	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.28	-7	1	-8	16.4	17.7	-1.34	15.4	16.6	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 100, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.46,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	95.3%
SAC 111, VAN 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0,0,0	94.9%
BOS 115, TOR 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.02,0,0,0	94.5%