NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	116		Excitement	5.8 [629]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): +21.9%
New Orleans Hornets	103		Comeback	1.2 [274]		LVP	Jannero Pargo (NOH): -8.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.22	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.09	0.02	16	74%	0.26	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.08	0.02	14	72%	0.22	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Andris Biedrins	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.07	0.02	7	87%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Al Harrington	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.01	9	72%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	15	53%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	18	43%	0.03	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.00	15	56%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.03	0.08	-0.04	22	46%	0.16	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.00	24	54%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	15	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.7	29.8	15.8	26.2	2.4	26.1	123.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +49.5%

GSW +6.8%

NOH -18.7%

GSW +8.2%

GSW +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOH	NBA	GSW	NOH	NBA
this game	15.2	17.4	15.4	130.3	117.0	105.7
season	13.5	15.9		109.8	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.1		104.0	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.6	13.3	17.6	17.8	15.2
NOH	18.2	18.0	15.9	17.3	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	80	80	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.09	16	-3	19	15.5	12.4	3.06	17.2	19.0	-1.80
Stephen Jackson	78	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-1	15	15.8	10.8	4.99	16.9	20.3	-3.44
Baron Davis	76	76	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	-4	21	15.6	13.0	2.57	17.5	16.4	1.10
Monta Ellis	84	83	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.15	11	2	9	15.0	18.8	-3.82	17.5	15.0	2.51
Andris Biedrins	37	37	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	3	7	14.9	15.4	-0.42	16.3	18.1	-1.79
Al Harrington	42	41	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	11	-9	14.7	15.6	-0.86	18.7	16.2	2.56
CJ Watson	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	15	-17	18.9	14.9	3.98	12.7	17.8	-5.05
Kelenna Azubuike	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	13.0	15.6	-2.57	17.5	17.3	0.16
Brandan Wright	3	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	14	-15	17.3	15.1	2.22	18.3	17.3	1.00
Mickael Pietrus	25	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	15	-17	12.8	16.1	-3.27	18.8	16.8	2.01

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	8	8	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-17	21	19.5	17.1	2.35	11.7	15.5	-3.78
Rasual Butler	21	22	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.16	7	-20	27	16.8	17.5	-0.73	14.5	15.4	-0.92
Julian Wright	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-19	25	7.0	17.6	-10.60	27.7	14.8	12.91
Hilton Armstrong	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-19	25	7.0	17.6	-10.60	27.7	14.8	12.91
Ryan Bowen	25	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-14	15	16.2	17.8	-1.57	14.8	15.3	-0.54
Tyson Chandler	68	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	1	-15	17.3	17.4	-0.11	15.0	15.8	-0.75
Chris Paul	85	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	3	-19	17.8	4.7	13.15	14.6	26.7	-12.10
Peja Stojakovic	76	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.08	-19	6	-25	17.5	16.4	1.10	15.2	15.3	-0.11
David West	73	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.09	-23	10	-33	17.8	15.1	2.69	15.4	14.4	0.95
Jannero Pargo	80	82	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.11	-17	4	-21	17.1	19.5	-2.35	15.5	11.6	3.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 116, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
HOU 100, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.46,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	94.7%
PHX 88, CHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.6%