NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	105		Excitement	5.8 [667]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +10.4%
Charlotte Hornets	99		Comeback	1.6 [308]		LVP	Marco Belinelli (CHA): -12.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	4	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	6	80%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	63%	0.08	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Dario Saric	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	17	53%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	12	58%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.07	16	49%	0.17	5	-0.15	3	67%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	55%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Richaun Holmes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.02	0.05	18	63%	0.15	2	-0.04	10	80%	-0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	8	63%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.04	0.04	12	59%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	16	33%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	10	40%	-0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.5	27.4	15.5	25.6	2.6	42.3	138.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +59.3%

CHA -17.5%

PHI +25.0%

CHA -16.5%

CHA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHA	NBA	PHI	CHA	NBA
this game	14.6	13.6	14.8	102.9	97.1	107.7
season	14.5	15.1		101.9	107.9
opponent	14.8	14.4		107.9	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.3	15.7	12.8	15.8	14.6
CHA	13.4	13.8	14.9	12.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dario Saric	67	65	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.47	1	5	-4	14.9	14.1	0.72	13.2	14.4	-1.28
T.J. McConnell	77	76	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	2	2	14.6	14.6	-0.03	13.6	13.7	-0.15
Robert Covington	65	65	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	1	4	13.8	16.1	-2.30	13.7	13.5	0.16
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	22	23	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	-4	14	15.3	14.4	0.84	14.7	13.3	1.39
Gerald Henderson	59	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	0	6	14.8	14.4	0.42	13.8	13.4	0.34
Richaun Holmes	39	41	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	1	4	13.5	15.3	-1.79	13.4	13.8	-0.42
Nerlens Noel	62	59	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	8	-10	15.5	13.3	2.21	14.0	13.1	0.83
Sergio Rodriguez	25	26	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	4	-2	14.6	14.6	0.03	13.7	13.6	0.15
Nik Stauskas	52	52	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.15	-3	9	-12	15.0	14.2	0.78	12.9	14.3	-1.42
Ersan Ilyasova	42	44	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.13	2	4	-2	14.2	14.9	-0.73	14.0	13.3	0.75

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	57	56	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.32	10	-16	26	12.5	15.0	-2.51	15.4	13.6	1.80
Miles Plumlee	18	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.00	-5	-1	-4	14.2	13.5	0.67	14.8	14.6	0.25
Brian Roberts	21	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	0	-6	13.6	13.6	-0.06	14.8	14.6	0.24
Nicolas Batum	80	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-6	6	13.6	13.6	-0.02	14.7	14.2	0.46
Marvin Williams	73	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	7	-20	13.8	13.1	0.67	14.0	16.0	-2.01
Kemba Walker	81	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-6	6	13.6	13.6	0.06	14.6	14.8	-0.24
Frank Kaminsky	80	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-6	6	13.8	13.0	0.79	14.6	14.5	0.15
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	66	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	0	-6	14.0	13.0	1.00	14.9	14.1	0.79
Jeremy Lamb	34	33	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	4	-14	13.7	13.6	0.13	13.6	15.1	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 81, NOH 68	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.8%
MEM 103, NYK 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
WAS 99, MIL 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%