NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	5.3 [748]		MVP	Brandon Rush (IND): +19.0%
Detroit Pistons	83		Comeback	1.4 [456]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -15.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Rush	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.23	0.03	0.07	9	105%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Danny Granger	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	20	59%	0.17	3	-0.05	14	79%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	57%	0.07	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
A.J. Price	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	58%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	11	40%	-0.05	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	9	35%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	6	28%	-0.05	3	-0.07	6	17%	-0.07

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.00	6	92%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	12	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
DaJuan Summers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	14	41%	-0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	9	35%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.04	0.03	12	35%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.4	29.4	16.8	26.2	2.5	27.4	132.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +47.5%

DET -0.8%

DET -0.2%

IND +1.8%

IND +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	15.7	15.6	15.3	106.5	90.2	106.0
season	14.2	16.8		102.2	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.1		109.8	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	14.8	15.9	17.7	15.7
DET	15.3	12.9	19.1	15.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	69	67	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.07	21	-6	27	16.2	14.1	2.12	15.5	15.8	-0.24
Earl Watson	66	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	-3	21	16.2	14.5	1.75	15.6	15.5	0.12
Danny Granger	80	82	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	1	13	15.4	17.9	-2.53	15.8	14.2	1.56
Mike Dunleavy	41	40	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	8	-1	14.8	16.5	-1.69	14.6	16.3	-1.70
Brandon Rush	64	64	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	6	3	16.7	13.4	3.29	15.5	15.7	-0.18
Dahntay Jones	29	30	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	14	-13	13.8	16.6	-2.76	15.9	15.4	0.51
Roy Hibbert	54	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	14	-13	16.4	14.8	1.58	16.1	14.8	1.33
Solomon Jones	30	28	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	11	-7	15.1	16.0	-0.87	15.9	15.5	0.44
A.J. Price	27	27	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	15	-15	14.6	16.2	-1.64	14.9	15.9	-0.94

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Bynum	33	34	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.04	5	-20	25	15.0	15.9	-0.87	15.3	16.0	-0.72
Charlie Villanueva	43	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-12	9	14.1	16.9	-2.76	15.5	15.9	-0.40
Ben Gordon	58	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-9	3	14.5	17.4	-2.89	15.4	16.2	-0.77
Jason Maxiell	38	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.15	-12	-3	-9	15.3	15.8	-0.46	16.3	15.3	0.99
Rodney Stuckey	60	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-12	9	15.2	16.3	-1.16	16.1	14.9	1.28
DaJuan Summers	18	18	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-5	-5	15.5	15.6	-0.11	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Kwame Brown	49	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.28	1	-16	17	16.6	14.5	2.11	15.3	16.1	-0.81
Richard Hamilton	42	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.01	-13	-2	-11	16.6	14.7	1.86	15.6	15.8	-0.12
Tayshaun Prince	77	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.05	-17	2	-19	15.6	15.6	-0.02	16.0	14.3	1.70
Jonas Jerebko	42	42	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.06	-17	2	-19	17.7	13.8	3.91	15.6	15.8	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 113, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.32,0.3,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.3%
IND 106, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.18,0.21,0.11,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
CHH 120, HOU 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%