NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	106		Excitement	4.7 [869]		MVP	Rik Smits (IND): +10.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	1.1 [539]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -12.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	10	75%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Reggie Miller	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.01	19	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Travis Best	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Perkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	7	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	60%	0.04	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.04	0.05	16	55%	-0.02	3	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	70%	0.05	1	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Bowman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	11	41%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	17	35%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	11	46%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	16	47%	-0.05	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	20	40%	-0.07	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	3.3	29.5	19.7	25.0	2.5	26.6	135.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +53.7%

PHI -2.9%

IND +5.8%

PHI -6.6%

PHI -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	15.6	15.2	115.2	98.9	101.7
season	15.4	15.0		106.5	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		98.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	18.3	13.2	18.6	15.9
PHI	14.8	14.4	16.8	16.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	82	82	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.05	23	-7	30	15.9	15.6	0.31	16.1	10.8	5.34
Jalen Rose	79	78	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	1	14	16.0	15.2	0.85	16.4	10.8	5.63
Rik Smits	51	52	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.03	13	3	10	15.4	16.5	-1.05	16.0	15.1	0.90
Mark Jackson	60	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	2	12	15.2	17.1	-1.91	15.5	15.8	-0.35
Dale Davis	57	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	2	12	15.8	16.1	-0.33	16.0	14.9	1.04
Austin Croshere	36	35	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	14	-12	15.6	16.0	-0.40	14.7	16.2	-1.48
Travis Best	32	33	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	14	-12	17.1	15.2	1.91	15.8	15.5	0.35
Sam Perkins	34	33	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	11	-6	17.1	15.2	1.92	16.1	15.3	0.83
Jonathan Bender	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	13.6	16.0	-2.41	6.7	16.0	-9.25
Zan Tabak	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	15.7	15.9	-0.23	10.0	15.9	-5.92
Derrick McKey	18	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	20	-24	15.8	15.9	-0.06	11.7	16.6	-4.89

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ira Bowman	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-16	16	10.0	15.9	-5.92	15.7	15.9	-0.23
Todd MacCulloch	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	10.0	15.9	-5.92	15.7	15.9	-0.23
Kevin Ollie	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	10.0	15.9	-5.92	15.7	15.9	-0.23
Jumaine Jones	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	10.0	15.9	-5.92	15.7	15.9	-0.23
Toni Kukoc	60	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-6	-4	15.6	15.5	0.12	16.5	14.7	1.73
Eric Snow	14	14	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.19	-15	-1	-14	15.8	15.6	0.23	10.7	16.8	-6.09
Tyrone Hill	65	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-7	-2	16.3	13.9	2.39	16.6	14.2	2.41
Aaron McKie	76	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-4	-8	15.5	16.2	-0.73	16.1	14.5	1.61
Allen Iverson	84	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	-9	2	16.1	9.9	6.21	16.2	13.3	2.82
George Lynch	58	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.03	-17	1	-18	15.8	15.2	0.69	15.8	16.1	-0.33
Theo Ratliff	78	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.03	-16	0	-16	15.8	14.3	1.50	15.4	18.5	-3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.18,0.21,0.11,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.35,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
MEM 104, GSW 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.3%
IND 98, DET 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	95.3%