inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 104 Excitement5.3 [758] MVPWayne Ellington (MEM): +10.4%
Golden State Warriors 94 Comeback1.2 [769] LVPAndrew Bogut (GSW): -9.2%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wayne Ellington0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.02-0.01671%0.1000.002100%0.01
Mike Conley0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.110.010.05981%0.163-0.098100%0.01
Marc Gasol0.040,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.080.000.041362%0.061-0.02887%0.01
Quincy Pondexter0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00267%0.0300.002100%0.01
Jerryd Bayless0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.000.00383%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Tony Allen0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.01-0.03932%0.0100.0010%-0.02
Zach Randolph-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.001060%0.075-0.115100%0.02
Marreese Speights-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.01-0.02729%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Rudy Gay-0.080,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.03-0.021841%-0.022-0.06850%-0.05

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.00-0.022063%0.154-0.0610%-0.02
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.0000%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00-0.01642%0.0100.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.06-0.020.051062%0.063-0.071283%0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.010.011050%-0.001-0.022100%0.01
Harrison Barnes0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.020.00757%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Andris Biedrins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.0500.0020%-0.03
David Lee0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.040.041362%0.034-0.1100%0.00
Festus Ezeli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.040.00540%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.030.01540%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.52.528.416.229.73.433.5143.3
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +20.0%
MEM +14.6%
MEM +3.4%
MEM +11.1%
MEM +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMGSWNBAMEMGSWNBA
this game15.215.115.4108.3100.0104.1
season16.514.6102.9104.6
opponent15.315.5103.799.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM13.616.615.015.815.2
GSW15.814.716.313.515.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Conley68660.55-0.050.610.1414-41814.916.0-1.0715.115.1-0.05
Marc Gasol75730.52-0.020.530.0217-72414.816.8-1.9515.314.31.02
Zach Randolph72690.430.070.360.1791815.813.62.1515.115.00.16
Rudy Gay69670.420.080.330.1591815.315.10.1815.314.50.83
Tony Allen58570.350.150.200.0891815.614.80.7915.314.70.61
Wayne Ellington38360.170.33-0.160.1128-614.815.6-0.7914.615.3-0.71
Quincy Pondexter36370.080.42-0.340.11-111-1214.615.6-0.9614.615.4-0.84
Marreese Speights36370.040.46-0.420.19-515-2015.615.00.5114.715.3-0.66
Jerryd Bayless2828-0.050.55-0.610.06-414-1816.014.91.0715.115.10.05

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Rush430.03-0.530.56-0.063-131613.715.1-1.3819.715.14.57
Carl Landry49500.03-0.530.56-0.3814-243813.916.3-2.4115.015.5-0.46
Draymond Green32-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-8622.014.87.158.015.4-7.39
Jarrett Jack5555-0.10-0.400.30-0.131-111214.915.3-0.3515.115.4-0.35
Festus Ezeli2325-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-4-6215.415.00.4215.615.10.49
Richard Jefferson2019-0.21-0.290.090.06-9-1-815.215.00.1614.115.5-1.41
Andris Biedrins1313-0.21-0.290.070.11-111-1215.215.00.1813.115.6-2.50
David Lee6871-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.28-1-9814.716.0-1.2815.414.80.65
Klay Thompson7476-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.13-7-3-415.114.80.2915.414.60.74
Harrison Barnes4346-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.07-111-1215.614.61.0215.814.81.00
Andrew Bogut3435-0.41-0.09-0.320.06-166-2216.114.51.6315.814.90.88
Stephen Curry8485-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.21-7-3-415.015.3-0.2515.215.8-0.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 106, PHI 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.18,0.21,0.11,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
CHH 120, HOU 1010.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
SAS 97, VAN 790.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,094.8%