NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	105		Excitement	5.3 [796]		MVP	Bobby Portis (CHI): +14.0%
Miami Heat	89		Comeback	2.0 [175]		LVP	Justise Winslow (MIA): -15.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.02	-0.02	17	68%	0.18	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Wayne Selden	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.16	0.02	0.07	10	83%	0.11	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.03
Robin Lopez	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	76%	0.10	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Sampson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	57%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	60%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.06	15	38%	0.03	2	-0.01	7	86%	0.03
Antonio Blakeney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	14	45%	0.00	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.02	12	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.03	13	50%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	15	39%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	0.06	7	68%	-0.00	4	-0.08	5	60%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	17	41%	-0.04	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	28.2	14.5	29.2	1.8	29.2	126.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +30.5%

CHI +18.9%

MIA -13.4%

CHI +13.2%

CHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIA	NBA	CHI	MIA	NBA
this game	15.3	15.7	14.3	112.9	95.7	109.3
season	14.6	14.8		104.2	106.3
opponent	14.3	14.3		106.7	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.3	16.7	14.5	14.6	15.3
MIA	15.3	15.3	17.4	14.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille Harrison	47	47	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.01	22	-6	28	15.1	15.5	-0.41	16.2	15.2	1.04
Lauri Markkanen	65	67	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.10	21	-5	26	15.1	15.6	-0.43	15.4	16.3	-0.90
Wayne Selden	69	68	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.17	19	-3	22	15.2	15.5	-0.26	15.5	16.2	-0.69
Kris Dunn	68	66	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	8	0	14.7	16.7	-1.93	15.9	15.3	0.57
Robin Lopez	44	45	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	5	6	16.0	14.6	1.43	16.2	15.2	0.93
Ryan Arcidiacono	67	67	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	8	0	15.5	14.7	0.75	15.2	17.0	-1.81
Bobby Portis	49	48	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	11	-6	14.6	16.0	-1.43	15.2	16.2	-0.93
Brandon Sampson	21	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	14	-12	15.3	15.3	0.02	16.8	15.3	1.44
Jabari Parker	28	26	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	21	-26	15.6	15.1	0.43	16.3	15.4	0.90
Antonio Blakeney	7	8	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.09	-11	27	-38	20.3	14.9	5.43	14.0	15.9	-1.86

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Richardson	75	76	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-14	12	15.2	17.8	-2.58	15.1	15.9	-0.75
Bam Adebayo	65	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-12	8	14.8	17.7	-2.88	15.8	14.1	1.64
Wayne Ellington	64	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	-7	-2	15.2	16.9	-1.69	15.4	15.0	0.34
Kelly Olynyk	44	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-10	4	15.7	15.7	0.01	15.3	15.2	0.06
James Johnson	33	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.04	-7	-9	2	16.8	15.1	1.64	16.2	14.7	1.52
Dion Waiters	36	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-7	-2	16.6	15.1	1.49	14.4	15.7	-1.30
Hassan Whiteside	28	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	-4	-8	17.7	14.8	2.88	14.1	15.8	-1.64
Justise Winslow	66	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-2	-12	15.7	15.7	-0.01	15.4	15.0	0.37
Tyler Johnson	54	53	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.01	-17	1	-18	15.8	15.6	0.14	15.1	15.5	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 106, DEN 88	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
PHX 94, LAC 80	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.16,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.3%
ORL 110, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%