inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 106 Excitement5.5 [722] MVPLinas Kleiza (DEN): +20.7%
Denver Nuggets 88 Comeback2.1 [447] LVPKenyon Martin (DEN): -16.0%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu0.200,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.180.070.051674%0.262-0.051080%-0.02
Jameer Nelson0.150,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.110.00-0.041566%0.202-0.06580%0.01
Rashard Lewis0.140,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.110.050.021279%0.234-0.09580%-0.00
Courtney Lee0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.03-0.021154%0.0900.00250%-0.00
Marcin Gortat-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%-0.0100.0020%-0.02
Anthony Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
JJ Redick-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tony Battie-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.001539%-0.053-0.08667%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.180.060.021381%0.252-0.04683%0.01
Chauncey Billups0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.060.06-0.031746%0.083-0.065100%0.03
Renaldo Balkman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00343%0.0100.001100%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.01-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sonny Weems0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01237%-0.0300.00475%-0.01
J.R. Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.16-0.00-0.071330%-0.044-0.054100%0.02
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.02250%0.024-0.12650%-0.02
Nene0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.15-0.02-0.051020%-0.053-0.0700%0.00
Kenyon Martin0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.12-0.040.001529%-0.141-0.0240%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.22.634.715.828.21.828.2142.5
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +52.0%
DEN -3.4%
DEN -10.6%
ORL +7.2%
ORL +4.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDENNBAORLDENNBA
this game16.614.115.5114.092.6106.4
season15.314.4107.3109.5
opponent15.715.8105.2101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.916.117.318.516.6
DEN14.513.414.214.314.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Courtney Lee75770.58-0.080.65-0.0722-42616.716.20.4714.114.00.08
Rashard Lewis72740.430.070.35-0.101801816.317.6-1.3114.712.02.71
Hedo Turkoglu58600.340.160.18-0.01126617.115.81.3314.014.1-0.04
Tony Battie28290.290.210.090.12612-618.215.92.2611.915.0-3.17
Anthony Johnson35360.270.230.05-0.02108218.715.33.3912.215.2-3.01
Dwight Howard61630.250.250.01-0.10126616.816.20.6815.211.83.39
Jameer Nelson58590.230.27-0.05-0.01810-215.318.7-3.3915.212.23.01
Keith Bogans29280.160.34-0.19-0.02612-615.817.0-1.1814.713.80.87
Marcin Gortat25240.030.47-0.440.03018-1815.117.1-2.0311.914.8-2.93
JJ Redick2425-0.070.57-0.640.05-422-2616.116.8-0.7013.414.3-0.95

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Renaldo Balkman17160.05-0.550.590.050-181813.414.2-0.7918.216.31.99
Sonny Weems66-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-171611.514.2-2.7422.516.26.30
Johan Petro66-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-171611.514.2-2.7422.516.26.30
Nene3233-0.14-0.360.230.10-8-10216.312.93.3415.817.0-1.26
Anthony Carter4542-0.24-0.260.01-0.10-5-13812.215.7-3.5016.117.0-0.97
Kenyon Martin6868-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.03-9-9014.912.02.8315.818.8-3.01
Chauncey Billups7372-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.00-10-8-214.313.11.2115.919.0-3.04
Dahntay Jones3030-0.30-0.20-0.110.08-13-5-815.013.61.4217.016.40.64
Chris Andersen5653-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.14-9-9012.716.0-3.2916.516.7-0.13
Linas Kleiza7472-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.06-12-6-613.217.0-3.7716.815.90.96
J.R. Smith6867-0.46-0.04-0.420.18-224-2615.310.94.4917.115.41.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 105, LAC 1020.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,095.0%
CHI 105, MIA 890.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.5%
CLE 93, NYK 730.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.2%