NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	4.3 [912]		MVP	Danny Ferry (CLE): +16.0%
New York Knicks	73		Comeback	2.4 [142]		LVP	Chris Childs (NYK): -18.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.04	0.00	15	66%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.03	22	54%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	8	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Chris Mills	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	20	52%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Antonio Lang	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	86%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	10	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Allan Houston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	11	54%	0.07	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	18	46%	-0.03	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	27.3	17.6	24.2	2.5	25.5	124.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.1%

CLE +1.2%

NYK -8.1%

CLE +32.3%

CLE +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	20.4	14.5	15.6	113.4	88.0	104.4
season	17.8	15.1		102.1	102.0
opponent	16.1	16.1		98.8	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.7	24.7	17.2	22.6	20.4
NYK	15.8	11.3	16.2	14.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	28	29	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	5	10	17.1	22.1	-5.08	15.2	14.2	0.99
Chris Mills	80	81	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.09	22	-2	24	20.5	18.5	1.96	14.7	9.0	5.67
Terrell Brandon	72	75	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.00	18	2	16	19.5	27.2	-7.73	14.5	14.4	0.17
Danny Ferry	82	83	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	0	20	20.4	0.0	20.41	14.5	0.0	14.53
Bob Sura	70	71	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.13	20	0	20	20.3	20.9	-0.59	14.8	13.0	1.79
Mark West	43	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.24	13	7	6	20.0	20.8	-0.77	15.2	13.8	1.39
Antonio Lang	24	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	20	-20	23.3	19.2	4.13	13.1	15.0	-1.90
Shawnelle Scott	11	10	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.04	-8	28	-36	30.4	18.9	11.49	9.8	15.2	-5.38

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buck Williams	24	23	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-26	32	12.8	15.2	-2.45	22.5	19.6	2.93
Walter McCarty	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-19	18	12.1	14.7	-2.61	27.3	19.9	7.46
Scott Brooks	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-20	20	12.7	14.9	-2.18	23.6	19.8	3.80
Charlie Ward	46	44	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-15	10	13.2	16.2	-2.94	21.9	18.7	3.22
John Starks	43	44	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-16	12	13.3	15.9	-2.64	21.7	18.9	2.83
Patrick Ewing	58	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.19	-20	0	-20	15.3	12.7	2.59	18.9	23.7	-4.74
Chris Childs	41	41	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	0	-20	16.8	12.4	4.40	18.3	22.5	-4.15
Allan Houston	63	63	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	0	-20	14.9	13.4	1.42	20.6	19.8	0.75
Larry Johnson	70	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.10	-21	1	-22	14.5	14.7	-0.19	19.3	26.1	-6.73
Charles Oakley	50	51	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	-5	-10	15.4	13.3	2.09	20.0	21.2	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 105, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0	94.3%
ORL 106, DEN 88	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
LAL 92, DET 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.44,0.31,0.23,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%