NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	105		Excitement	5.3 [791]		MVP	James Posey (MEM): +9.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	1.9 [357]		LVP	Rick Brunson (LAC): -13.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.00	0.06	-0.03	10	45%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jason Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	8	63%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	12	74%	0.11	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Brian Cardinal	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	12	65%	0.07	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Jake Tsakalidis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	74%	0.09	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.03
Shane Battier	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	58%	0.00	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Ryan Humphrey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Emmett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	6	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	18	71%	0.17	3	-0.09	16	81%	0.03
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lionel Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	0.00	0.06	-0.01	0.04	11	71%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	18	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	0.03	9	50%	-0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.7	28.0	15.8	29.2	2.4	36.9	137.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +19.7%

MEM +18.3%

LAC -15.7%

MEM +22.9%

MEM +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	16.4	15.4	15.5	116.7	112.1	104.0
season	16.4	16.0		103.7	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.3	17.1	14.3	18.0	16.4
LAC	16.4	15.6	16.3	13.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	76	76	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-5	13	15.9	19.4	-3.55	15.4	15.2	0.23
Brian Cardinal	67	69	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.06	16	-13	29	15.9	18.0	-2.16	16.4	12.1	4.30
Lorenzen Wright	70	70	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	-2	7	16.1	17.7	-1.63	15.6	14.7	0.95
Shane Battier	55	55	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	-3	9	15.4	18.0	-2.56	15.3	15.5	-0.22
Jason Williams	69	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	4	-5	15.7	18.7	-2.98	15.4	15.3	0.18
Earl Watson	28	30	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	1	1	19.1	15.2	3.88	15.5	15.3	0.16
James Posey	49	50	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.48	-10	13	-23	17.8	14.8	2.95	13.9	17.2	-3.23
Jake Tsakalidis	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	8	-13	16.9	16.3	0.60	16.3	15.2	1.16
Ryan Humphrey	9	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	6	-9	21.1	15.9	5.20	12.7	15.7	-3.03
Andre Emmett	7	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	6	-9	18.6	16.3	2.32	14.2	15.5	-1.26

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lionel Chalmers	23	22	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.02	9	-12	21	15.3	15.4	-0.18	17.1	16.2	0.93
Chris Kaman	34	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-3	3	16.9	14.5	2.47	15.8	16.9	-1.15
Quinton Ross	37	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.31	10	-13	23	14.1	16.3	-2.12	17.8	15.3	2.55
Mikki Moore	33	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-5	7	15.8	15.1	0.71	15.3	17.0	-1.74
Chris Wilcox	28	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	6	-15	14.3	15.9	-1.60	16.5	16.4	0.04
Kenny Anderson	12	11	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	3	-9	17.1	15.1	1.94	12.0	17.1	-5.05
Elton Brand	58	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.31	1	-4	5	15.3	15.5	-0.14	17.2	15.0	2.22
Corey Maggette	80	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.47	5	-8	13	15.0	18.2	-3.17	16.1	18.8	-2.72
Zeljko Rebraca	16	16	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	4	-11	17.5	14.9	2.55	17.1	16.3	0.84
Rick Brunson	56	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.31	-6	3	-9	15.1	15.9	-0.80	17.0	15.4	1.59
Bobby Simmons	78	74	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.24	-14	11	-25	15.5	14.6	0.91	16.1	18.2	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 106, DEN 88	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
BKN 90, MIL 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.9%
MIL 114, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.02,0,0.01,0,0	94.8%