NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	90		Excitement	5.3 [767]		MVP	Brook Lopez (BKN): +31.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	82		Comeback	1.6 [720]		LVP	Brandon Knight (MIL): -11.2%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.31	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.24	0.07	0.00	13	86%	0.36	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.04
Alan Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.02	11	54%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	14	50%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tyshawn Taylor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Mirza Teletovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	12	39%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miroslav Raduljica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
John Henson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	15	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.04	16	58%	0.06	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nate Wolters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	12	38%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.6	28.4	15.6	25.3	2.5	35.3	130.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +17.8%

BKN +9.1%

BKN +6.4%

BKN +14.1%

BKN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIL	NBA	BKN	MIL	NBA
this game	17.5	17.8	15.1	109.8	101.2	105.2
season	15.7	15.7		105.1	101.4
opponent	15.1	15.5		109.7	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	16.6	16.9	18.1	18.4	17.5
MIL	19.4	18.2	17.9	15.9	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andray Blatche	34	35	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-5	18	16.0	18.6	-2.60	18.3	17.5	0.83
Brook Lopez	66	66	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	-4	16	17.7	16.7	0.96	18.3	15.5	2.88
Joe Johnson	72	71	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	2	4	17.6	17.2	0.37	18.3	14.3	4.01
Shaun Livingston	57	56	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	-2	12	18.2	16.0	2.25	18.6	16.1	2.45
Mirza Teletovic	29	29	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	5	-2	17.1	17.7	-0.60	16.4	18.6	-2.18
Alan Anderson	63	62	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	1	6	17.7	17.1	0.55	17.9	17.5	0.38
Tyshawn Taylor	25	25	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	10	-12	16.0	18.2	-2.25	16.1	18.6	-2.45
Reggie Evans	21	20	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.19	-4	12	-16	16.8	17.8	-1.02	15.7	18.5	-2.74
Kevin Garnett	43	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	13	-18	18.8	16.1	2.71	17.6	18.1	-0.51

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ekpe Udoh	43	45	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-10	12	17.3	18.4	-1.14	18.5	16.4	2.09
Nate Wolters	18	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-12	16	17.4	17.9	-0.48	17.6	17.5	0.14
Gary Neal	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-6	4	21.0	17.3	3.74	14.5	18.0	-3.54
Miroslav Raduljica	16	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-7	6	20.8	17.1	3.74	14.5	18.2	-3.66
Giannis Antetokounmpo	25	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-7	6	17.6	17.9	-0.37	16.6	17.9	-1.33
O.J. Mayo	59	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-8	8	17.3	19.2	-1.88	18.6	14.5	4.07
Khris Middleton	62	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	2	-12	18.1	16.7	1.41	17.6	17.2	0.41
Ersan Ilyasova	50	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-1	-6	17.7	17.9	-0.20	16.8	18.7	-1.86
Brandon Knight	63	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	4	-16	17.9	17.4	0.48	17.5	17.6	-0.14
John Henson	57	58	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.25	-13	5	-18	17.1	19.6	-2.57	18.0	16.4	1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 96, CLE 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
MEM 105, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0	94.9%
ATL 106, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.04,0	94.7%