NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	96		Excitement	5.1 [833]		MVP	David West (NOH): +15.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	81		Comeback	1.8 [764]		LVP	Samardo Samuels (CLE): -12.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	13	66%	0.18	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	14	60%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.02	10	59%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carl Landry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	9	64%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	48%	0.03	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.03	11	74%	0.20	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	10	38%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Eyenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Semih Erden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	47%	0.01	3	-0.09	12	75%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	7	43%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	15	42%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	0.03	9	44%	-0.08	3	-0.04	7	43%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.6	25.5	15.4	26.5	2.4	30.2	127.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +41.3%

NOH +4.8%

CLE -7.6%

NOH +12.6%

CLE -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	CLE	NBA	NOH	CLE	NBA
this game	16.6	15.6	15.5	106.7	91.0	105.7
season	16.2	15.1		104.6	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.9		110.2	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.9	17.5	15.6	18.5	16.6
CLE	18.7	14.5	14.4	14.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	67	65	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.09	22	-7	29	15.8	19.0	-3.21	16.4	13.4	2.99
Willie Green	62	62	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.02	17	-2	19	16.4	17.1	-0.77	15.0	16.7	-1.69
Marco Belinelli	78	77	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	1	13	16.9	14.7	2.24	15.3	17.5	-2.24
Emeka Okafor	65	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.17	21	-6	27	15.8	18.6	-2.75	15.4	16.0	-0.66
Jarrett Jack	52	52	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.07	12	3	9	17.1	16.0	1.06	14.8	16.7	-1.91
Chris Paul	50	49	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	11	-7	15.7	17.8	-2.09	16.9	13.9	2.93
Jason Smith	10	10	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	14	-13	17.4	16.5	0.89	14.3	15.7	-1.42
Carl Landry	22	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	17	-19	18.2	16.1	2.08	16.0	15.4	0.59
Quincy Pondexter	28	27	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.08	-2	17	-19	17.1	16.4	0.77	16.7	15.0	1.69
Aaron Gray	16	16	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.23	-12	27	-39	20.5	15.8	4.73	13.2	16.1	-2.89

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manny Harris	9	10	0.14	-0.65	0.79	-0.18	11	-26	37	11.0	16.1	-5.08	21.0	16.1	4.94
Semih Erden	20	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-13	11	16.4	15.3	1.08	17.9	16.3	1.69
Christian Eyenga	29	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-17	19	15.6	15.5	0.09	18.1	15.9	2.25
Samardo Samuels	57	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-12	9	15.9	14.9	0.97	16.8	16.2	0.64
Ramon Sessions	61	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-1	-13	16.6	13.3	3.32	16.7	16.5	0.14
Alonzo Gee	53	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-9	3	16.1	14.8	1.22	15.8	17.9	-2.04
Luke Harangody	32	31	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-3	-9	14.9	15.9	-0.97	16.2	16.8	-0.64
JJ Hickson	69	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	-2	-11	15.3	16.4	-1.08	16.3	17.9	-1.69
Anthony Parker	62	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.19	-21	6	-27	15.5	15.7	-0.15	15.7	18.6	-2.85
Baron Davis	53	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	2	-19	14.7	16.9	-2.23	16.8	16.4	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 107, SAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
BKN 90, MIL 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0	95.1%
MIA 97, MEM 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.68,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%