NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	114		Excitement	6.3 [549]		MVP	Ersan Ilyasova (MIL): +17.4%
New York Knicks	107		Comeback	2.3 [375]		LVP	Larry Hughes (NYK): -6.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.02	-0.02	18	62%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.01	7	84%	0.15	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.02	6	67%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	12	52%	0.13	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Luke Ridnour	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	23	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.14	-0.00	0.09	18	73%	0.19	5	-0.15	8	100%	0.03
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.00	20	52%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	17	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Nate Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	12	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	26.6	17.3	26.6	2.3	30.6	129.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +42.6%

NYK -5.4%

MIL +7.6%

MIL +5.2%

NYK -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	14.0	15.3	117.5	112.6	106.0
season	15.5	14.7		103.3	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		109.9	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.9	14.5	13.0	18.8	15.9
NYK	14.0	15.5	14.7	11.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Jennings	72	70	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.20	17	-10	27	15.9	16.2	-0.28	13.8	14.8	-1.04
Carlos Delfino	85	82	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.28	14	-7	21	15.7	17.7	-2.06	13.9	14.7	-0.77
Luc Mbah a Moute	69	67	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	-5	17	16.5	14.6	1.84	14.0	14.2	-0.26
Hakim Warrick	35	35	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	4	-1	16.5	15.6	0.93	13.1	14.5	-1.41
Charlie Bell	66	66	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.17	3	4	-1	16.4	14.9	1.54	14.1	13.8	0.29
Ersan Ilyasova	62	60	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	6	-5	14.3	18.9	-4.64	14.7	12.8	1.90
Andrew Bogut	10	9	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.10	8	-1	9	19.7	15.5	4.18	14.2	14.0	0.21
Jerry Stackhouse	43	42	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.14	-3	10	-13	15.7	16.1	-0.45	14.1	14.0	0.11
Jodie Meeks	4	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	7	-7	17.2	15.9	1.36	20.2	13.8	6.49
Kurt Thomas	17	17	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	15	-23	16.6	15.8	0.85	13.6	14.1	-0.47
Luke Ridnour	22	23	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.15	-12	19	-31	15.8	16.0	-0.17	13.7	14.1	-0.39

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	67	69	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.21	8	-15	23	14.3	13.4	0.86	16.8	13.9	2.94
Chris Duhon	31	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-11	15	13.8	14.2	-0.38	15.7	16.1	-0.34
Larry Hughes	41	43	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.24	3	-10	13	13.8	14.2	-0.36	15.1	16.6	-1.45
Al Harrington	62	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-6	5	13.5	14.9	-1.39	15.3	17.2	-1.85
Wilson Chandler	75	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	14.2	13.3	0.86	16.6	13.7	2.85
Nate Robinson	64	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	4	-15	14.2	13.8	0.38	16.1	15.7	0.34
Jared Jeffries	54	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.05	-17	10	-27	14.5	13.4	1.09	15.7	16.2	-0.47
David Lee	81	82	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	8	-23	13.8	15.3	-1.47	15.7	17.3	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.02,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 105, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0	94.8%
TOR 100, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%
CLE 93, NYK 73	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%