NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	5.4 [723]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): +6.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	80		Comeback	1.3 [845]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -20.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	12	63%	0.07	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Tom Gugliotta	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	14	64%	0.06	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	48%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03
Oliver Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	43%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	15	54%	0.02	3	-0.08	7	71%	0.01
Rex Chapman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Luc Longley	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	12	32%	-0.10	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	15	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	15	87%	0.03
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	6	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	14	50%	0.05	5	-0.13	2	50%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	7	25%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	5	0%	-0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.07	0.02	14	41%	-0.10	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.6	28.1	15.5	27.4	1.7	34.3	135.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +21.1%

LAC -6.0%

PHX +19.7%

PHX +16.2%

LAC -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAC	NBA	PHX	LAC	NBA
this game	13.9	15.3	15.2	95.9	80.8	101.7
season	14.8	15.6		101.4	95.5
opponent	14.3	15.3		107.1	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.6	16.0	13.0	14.3	13.9
LAC	15.1	16.7	15.7	13.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	76	76	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.03	16	-2	18	13.3	16.1	-2.79	15.0	16.2	-1.19
Oliver Miller	38	39	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	5	4	12.8	14.6	-1.86	13.9	16.2	-2.23
Jason Kidd	83	85	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	0	14	14.0	13.5	0.47	15.0	17.3	-2.31
Clifford Robinson	59	59	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	7	0	14.0	13.8	0.26	15.3	15.3	-0.04
Tom Gugliotta	61	63	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	4	6	14.3	13.3	0.97	15.9	14.2	1.74
Rodney Rogers	44	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	5	4	13.6	14.2	-0.53	14.8	15.7	-0.95
Shawn Marion	39	40	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	10	-6	13.8	14.0	-0.14	16.2	14.7	1.55
Randy Livingston	14	13	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	11	-8	13.7	14.0	-0.25	17.0	15.0	1.95
Luc Longley	45	46	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.03	3	11	-8	14.6	13.4	1.16	15.8	14.8	1.02
Mark West	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	14	-14	28.0	13.8	14.22	16.0	15.3	0.70
Todd Day	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	17.0	13.9	3.14	17.0	15.3	1.73
Rex Chapman	28	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.14	-6	20	-26	14.9	13.5	1.35	15.2	15.3	-0.12

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	33	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.03	-3	-11	8	15.5	15.2	0.32	14.3	13.7	0.62
Derek Anderson	71	72	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-13	12	15.0	16.0	-0.97	14.6	12.0	2.68
Eric Murdock	41	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	-8	2	15.8	14.9	0.86	13.1	14.5	-1.40
Brian Skinner	65	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-4	-6	15.3	15.2	0.10	13.5	14.7	-1.24
Michael Olowokandi	51	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	-6	-2	15.5	15.1	0.35	14.3	13.6	0.68
Lamar Odom	83	84	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-7	0	14.6	19.1	-4.56	14.0	13.4	0.67
Eric Piatkowski	28	26	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	-1	-12	16.0	15.0	0.97	12.0	14.6	-2.68
Tyrone Nesby	52	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-3	-8	14.8	15.9	-1.08	13.6	14.3	-0.67
Maurice Taylor	71	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	-3	-8	16.0	13.5	2.46	14.5	12.5	1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.16,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 105, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
ORL 106, DEN 88	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
OKC 122, BKN 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%