NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	96		Excitement	4.9 [826]		MVP	Devin Harris (DAL): +12.0%
Houston Rockets	83		Comeback	1.5 [438]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -29.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.01	7	87%	0.20	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.04	13	59%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	18	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.02	0.08	16	53%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.02	0.05	18	64%	0.17	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.04
Shane Battier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	2	125%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	73%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	62%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	18	32%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	6	43%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.19,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.17	-0.12	0.00	8	19%	-0.12	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	29.5	15.5	23.2	1.8	30.2	127.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +39.8%

HOU -1.9%

HOU -16.4%

DAL +31.7%

HOU -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	17.3	17.3	15.4	115.7	100.0	105.7
season	16.1	16.2		108.9	104.6
opponent	15.2	15.4		100.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	19.3	18.2	14.7	17.7	17.3
HOU	19.6	16.1	17.3	16.6	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	67	69	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.06	19	-6	25	17.0	18.9	-1.89	18.2	13.4	4.80
Devin Harris	64	65	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.05	17	-4	21	16.7	19.7	-3.03	17.5	16.9	0.52
Jerry Stackhouse	50	48	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	1	11	17.1	17.7	-0.63	17.6	17.0	0.55
Jason Terry	42	43	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	6	1	18.0	16.7	1.37	17.5	17.1	0.38
Eddie Jones	27	25	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	15	-17	16.3	17.9	-1.56	17.2	17.4	-0.16
Josh Howard	62	65	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	1	11	18.3	14.6	3.66	17.4	17.2	0.16
Brandon Bass	31	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.34	-5	18	-23	18.0	17.0	1.04	15.5	18.3	-2.74
DeSagana Diop	20	19	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	16	-19	17.7	17.2	0.46	14.1	18.3	-4.21
Erick Dampier	48	50	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.29	15	-2	17	17.3	17.4	-0.14	18.5	15.6	2.84
Juwan Howard	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	17.2	17.4	-0.10	8.7	17.7	-9.01

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	8	9	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.01	1	-14	15	14.5	17.7	-3.15	25.0	16.4	8.58
Aaron Brooks	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	10.0	17.8	-7.82	17.2	17.4	-0.16
Kirk Snyder	13	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-12	11	13.7	18.0	-4.34	16.6	17.5	-0.82
Luis Scola	23	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-12	11	14.2	18.6	-4.39	18.5	16.9	1.57
Steve Francis	43	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-7	1	17.7	17.0	0.63	15.9	18.9	-2.97
Bonzi Wells	36	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-9	5	16.1	18.3	-2.14	18.2	16.7	1.59
Charles Hayes	49	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-7	1	18.4	15.8	2.63	16.4	18.8	-2.49
Shane Battier	60	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-1	-11	18.7	13.9	4.81	16.9	18.4	-1.50
Luther Head	43	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-4	-5	16.9	17.8	-0.97	18.1	16.5	1.64
Yao Ming	70	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-1	-11	18.0	13.7	4.34	17.5	16.6	0.82
Tracy McGrady	65	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.07	-20	7	-27	18.1	14.6	3.57	17.0	18.7	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 114, ORL 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
NOH 78, MIA 69	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
LAL 118, MIL 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.45,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.9%