inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 78 Excitement4.3 [951] MVPEddie Jones (MIA): +6.0%
Miami Heat 69 Comeback1.6 [531] LVPJamal Mashburn (NOH): -13.8%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
P.J. Brown0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.01662%0.041-0.004100%0.01
George Lynch0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.01460%0.0300.002100%0.02
Robert Traylor0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.020.030.000.01283%0.0200.00250%-0.00
Robert Pack0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.020100%0.011-0.002100%0.01
Jamaal Magloire-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.011162%0.072-0.08250%-0.01
Courtney Alexander-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.110.01-0.081137%0.012-0.03540%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
David Wesley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.02-0.051634%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jerome Moiso-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.03333%0.003-0.0400%0.00
Jamal Mashburn-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.15-0.01-0.031837%-0.074-0.07475%-0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.16-0.010.081572%0.0600.006100%0.02
Sean Marks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.02367%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00250%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Brian Grant0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.00743%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Vladimir Stepania0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.0330%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.00-0.03250%0.014-0.0500%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.0230%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Malik Allen0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.03-0.041739%-0.022-0.062100%0.01
Caron Butler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.010.011337%-0.0800.00475%-0.01
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.0250%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.93.327.116.026.22.329.6126.5
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +24.4%
NOH +4.5%
NOH +22.1%
NOH +0.1%
MIA -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHMIANBANOHMIANBA
this game16.517.015.588.682.1101.6
season15.916.3101.694.6
opponent15.915.6100.799.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH13.916.517.718.716.5
MIA15.616.319.317.317.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Courtney Alexander50490.64-0.140.770.1417-82516.616.40.2117.616.11.49
Jamal Mashburn71680.460.040.420.0215-62115.919.0-3.1117.017.00.01
George Lynch50460.360.140.220.1381715.817.4-1.5517.216.80.45
P.J. Brown67630.360.140.220.2254116.217.5-1.3616.518.5-1.95
Jamaal Magloire50490.310.190.120.0881716.216.9-0.6717.416.50.85
Jerome Moiso21210.140.36-0.220.0245-117.516.21.3618.516.51.95
Robert Pack29280.130.37-0.230.1309-917.316.11.2317.216.90.36
Elden Campbell17140.120.38-0.260.0145-115.616.7-1.0416.617.1-0.53
Robert Traylor20200.080.42-0.340.17-312-1518.715.82.8617.316.90.38
David Wesley6562-0.110.61-0.710.28-1322-3517.015.11.9016.019.9-3.93

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sean Marks88-0.00-0.500.49-0.155-141913.917.3-3.4718.616.32.35
Rasual Butler1415-0.07-0.430.360.05-4-5116.617.1-0.5316.316.5-0.27
Eddie House1920-0.09-0.410.33-0.183-121516.617.1-0.4918.715.82.86
Travis Best4648-0.09-0.410.31-0.06-1-8716.717.4-0.7016.616.30.35
Vladimir Stepania2729-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-5-4-117.516.80.7516.416.5-0.11
Malik Allen6870-0.19-0.310.11-0.252-111316.817.9-1.1417.512.74.73
LaPhonso Ellis1010-0.24-0.260.01-0.04-7-2-519.116.72.3713.916.8-2.92
Eddie Jones7375-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.33-1-8716.917.8-0.9316.616.10.48
Mike James3941-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.16-8-1-716.917.1-0.1215.917.0-1.05
Brian Grant5458-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.03-134-1717.416.31.1615.817.9-2.09
Caron Butler6266-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.01-167-2317.416.01.3715.818.6-2.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 114, SAC 980.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.32,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.6%
MIA 86, WAS 840.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,094.0%
DAL 96, HOU 830.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,093.9%