NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	114		Excitement	5.6 [724]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +23.7%
Orlando Magic	93		Comeback	1.5 [444]		LVP	Keyon Dooling (ORL): -14.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.17	0.05	-0.01	20	65%	0.24	0	0.00	6	83%	0.06
Antawn Jamison	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.02	0.03	26	53%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Etan Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.01	0.05	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	45%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jarvis Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Donell Taylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	21	45%	0.04	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.04	-0.02	9	83%	0.26	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	-0.00	-0.00	14	75%	0.23	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.02	13	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.06	12	39%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	4	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.02	7	37%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.05	0.04	12	42%	-0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.7	28.3	17.3	28.4	2.7	30.2	132.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +13.0%

ORL -0.9%

WAS +11.4%

WAS +30.4%

ORL -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	15.0	16.1	15.4	122.6	101.1	104.5
season	14.8	15.9		107.8	103.4
opponent	15.7	15.3		103.0	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.4	15.5	13.8	15.5	15.0
ORL	14.6	17.2	16.2	16.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	83	83	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.16	25	-4	29	14.6	18.6	-4.00	16.2	15.0	1.23
Gilbert Arenas	80	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.21	25	-4	29	14.6	17.6	-3.00	16.1	16.1	0.03
Caron Butler	83	81	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.12	19	2	17	14.3	20.8	-6.46	16.2	15.7	0.43
Etan Thomas	51	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	9	3	15.6	14.3	1.36	17.3	14.8	2.52
DeShawn Stevenson	45	43	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	12	-3	14.6	15.4	-0.84	15.2	16.9	-1.78
Brendan Haywood	42	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	14	-7	14.3	15.6	-1.36	15.1	16.9	-1.82
Antonio Daniels	44	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.08	9	12	-3	15.7	14.4	1.32	17.4	15.0	2.42
Donell Taylor	13	13	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	20	-19	13.5	15.3	-1.74	15.7	16.2	-0.48
Jarvis Hayes	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.06	2	19	-17	18.2	14.4	3.89	14.8	16.4	-1.57
Roger Mason Jr.	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	25.5	14.6	10.94	14.2	16.2	-2.02
Andray Blatche	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	25.5	14.6	10.94	14.2	16.2	-2.02

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	18	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-17	13	15.9	16.2	-0.27	16.3	14.7	1.61
Darko Milicic	46	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-18	15	16.9	15.3	1.52	15.6	14.4	1.23
Travis Diener	31	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-12	3	16.7	15.8	0.86	15.8	14.6	1.24
Grant Hill	64	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-9	-3	16.2	16.0	0.16	15.0	15.1	-0.15
Jameer Nelson	61	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-9	-3	15.8	16.7	-0.86	14.6	15.8	-1.24
Tony Battie	43	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-7	-7	14.7	17.4	-2.69	14.4	15.6	-1.19
Keyon Dooling	55	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-7	-7	17.0	14.8	2.13	15.6	14.1	1.56
Hedo Turkoglu	65	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.19	-19	-2	-17	15.6	17.3	-1.63	15.0	15.0	-0.01
Dwight Howard	77	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	-3	-15	16.3	15.3	0.93	14.3	18.4	-4.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, POR 82	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
NOH 100, MIN 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
GSW 107, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%