NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	105		Excitement	6.2 [583]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +24.7%
Boston Celtics	91		Comeback	1.6 [821]		LVP	Al Jefferson (BOS): -28.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.25	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.22	0.07	0.04	22	68%	0.25	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Brendan Haywood	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	6	85%	0.13	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Caron Butler	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	18	52%	0.11	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donell Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	7	29%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.02	0.05	16	52%	0.01	3	-0.07	12	75%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	8	25%	-0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.05	-0.05	12	48%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.00	14	61%	0.10	1	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	14	71%	0.13	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	12	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Ray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.04	0.06	6	50%	-0.06	4	-0.11	6	83%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.19	-0.10	0.00	12	27%	-0.12	5	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	30.2	15.8	25.5	1.8	33.2	133.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +26.3%

BOS -7.0%

WAS +13.6%

WAS +19.3%

BOS -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	14.4	15.9	15.4	109.4	96.8	104.5
season	14.8	15.5		107.8	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.2	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.3	15.8	12.1	16.7	14.4
BOS	15.5	16.2	17.4	14.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	72	72	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.17	25	-11	36	14.5	14.2	0.32	17.0	12.5	4.41
Roger Mason Jr.	37	36	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	5	4	15.5	13.7	1.76	14.7	16.7	-2.04
Antawn Jamison	80	81	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.02	16	-2	18	14.5	13.9	0.64	16.1	14.8	1.25
Caron Butler	88	87	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	0	14	14.4	14.0	0.44	16.4	10.1	6.25
Etan Thomas	32	31	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.23	17	-3	20	14.4	14.4	0.05	16.0	15.9	0.11
Brendan Haywood	57	57	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	10	-6	14.1	14.8	-0.65	16.8	14.6	2.19
Antonio Daniels	32	30	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	10	-6	13.6	14.8	-1.22	13.5	17.1	-3.61
Jarvis Hayes	21	18	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.19	-5	19	-24	14.0	14.5	-0.58	14.3	16.3	-1.97
Andray Blatche	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	15.6	14.3	1.26	6.2	16.4	-10.11
Donell Taylor	20	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	20	-26	13.6	14.6	-1.02	13.2	16.6	-3.34
DeShawn Stevenson	36	36	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	20	-26	14.5	14.4	0.11	17.4	15.0	2.46

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-21	28	7.9	16.7	-8.80	16.2	14.2	2.00
Leon Powe	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	6.2	16.4	-10.11	13.2	14.5	-1.21
Brian Scalabrine	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-13	12	15.0	16.0	-1.02	13.9	14.5	-0.57
Michael Olowokandi	10	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-13	12	15.5	16.0	-0.48	17.6	14.0	3.63
Allan Ray	16	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-16	18	13.6	16.4	-2.77	14.1	14.5	-0.34
Gerald Green	63	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-8	2	16.3	15.2	1.14	15.0	13.4	1.59
Kendrick Perkins	56	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-8	2	17.1	14.2	2.88	13.1	16.3	-3.12
Al Jefferson	66	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.18	-15	1	-16	17.1	13.1	4.01	14.1	15.2	-1.15
Rajon Rondo	42	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-12	10	14.0	17.5	-3.48	15.3	13.6	1.73
Delonte West	80	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-3	-8	16.2	14.2	2.01	14.7	12.6	2.07
Wally Szczerbiak	42	42	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.11	-18	4	-22	15.5	16.3	-0.86	13.3	15.3	-1.95
Ryan Gomes	74	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.11	-21	7	-28	16.8	12.8	3.91	14.4	14.3	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.29,0.19,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, NYK 73	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.4,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.12,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
LAC 91, NJN 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0	94.0%
GSW 112, NOP 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.0%