NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	91		Excitement	6.6 [454]		MVP	Dan Dickau (LAC): +10.2%
New Jersey Nets	82		Comeback	2.1 [242]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -20.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Dickau	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.07	0.02	6	73%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	14	60%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Paul Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Quinton Ross	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	15	51%	0.06	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.03
Brevin Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	9	39%	0.02	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.03
Cuttino Mobley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	0.03	6	54%	-0.01	5	-0.13	12	92%	0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	55%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.00	13	54%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.04	-0.05	17	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	8	41%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	4	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	7	39%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.06
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.08	0.00	21	40%	-0.11	3	-0.09	11	82%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	30.7	15.8	35.2	2.0	39.0	148.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +79.3%

NJN -21.4%

LAC +9.6%

NJN -19.8%

LAC +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NJN	NBA	LAC	NJN	NBA
this game	15.6	15.1	15.4	96.8	87.2	105.7
season	15.6	15.4		99.5	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.1		107.1	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.6	16.1	16.0	15.7	15.6
NJN	17.5	18.2	13.5	12.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	73	72	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	0	9	16.2	13.5	2.70	14.9	15.6	-0.75
Tim Thomas	77	76	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	1	7	15.6	15.6	-0.09	14.0	19.4	-5.42
Cuttino Mobley	52	52	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	0	9	14.9	16.5	-1.59	16.1	13.8	2.27
Ruben Patterson	48	48	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	4	1	15.6	15.5	0.15	14.8	15.3	-0.51
Brevin Knight	57	56	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	2	5	16.0	14.9	1.13	15.1	14.9	0.20
Al Thornton	28	28	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	5	-1	14.9	15.8	-0.92	16.0	14.7	1.38
Corey Maggette	55	57	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	3	3	14.7	16.7	-2.00	13.9	16.9	-3.06
Dan Dickau	32	33	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	6	-3	16.4	15.1	1.26	16.1	14.5	1.63
Paul Davis	16	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	8	-7	16.1	15.5	0.59	18.1	14.4	3.73
Quinton Ross	32	31	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.04	-7	16	-23	15.4	15.7	-0.26	15.1	15.0	0.05

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	49	48	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-13	17	14.8	15.4	-0.60	14.3	16.9	-2.62
Jason Collins	36	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-9	9	17.1	13.8	3.23	15.7	15.5	0.17
Darrell Armstrong	15	16	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-5	1	19.3	14.3	5.08	17.9	15.1	2.77
Jason Kidd	79	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	-5	-4	-1	14.3	19.3	-5.08	15.1	17.9	-2.77
Antoine Wright	39	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-5	1	15.4	14.9	0.50	18.0	13.9	4.07
Richard Jefferson	82	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	0	-9	14.7	17.4	-2.70	15.0	19.3	-4.31
Bostjan Nachbar	37	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	1	-11	15.6	14.7	0.92	14.8	16.0	-1.20
Josh Boone	53	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	1	-11	14.5	15.9	-1.40	16.2	14.8	1.45
Vince Carter	80	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	-2	-5	14.7	17.1	-2.44	15.6	15.2	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 113, DEN 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.12,0.05,0.11,0.03,0.14,0.09,0	94.3%
NYK 86, ATL 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0	94.1%
MIN 95, PHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.52,0.38,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.32,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.02,0,0,0	94.1%