NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	6.5 [528]		MVP	Ricky Davis (MIN): +7.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	84		Comeback	1.6 [509]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -21.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.09	0.02	19	54%	0.18	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Mike James	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.05	14	67%	0.12	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Craig Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	8	76%	0.09	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	16	43%	-0.04	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.02	0.05	6	83%	0.10	2	-0.08	6	83%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	10	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ivan McFarlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	8	32%	-0.06	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.06
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	14	43%	0.03	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	19	47%	-0.03	5	-0.15	17	82%	0.02
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.08	0.01	14	34%	-0.12	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	31.3	15.7	26.1	1.8	29.3	132.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +64.9%

PHI -3.0%

MIN +3.9%

PHI -16.8%

MIN +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHI	NBA	MIN	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	15.8	15.4	102.2	90.3	104.5
season	15.4	15.5		101.9	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.2	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	18.8	12.6	14.6	15.4	15.2
PHI	15.5	16.2	16.0	15.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	40	40	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-1	13	17.1	13.8	3.28	16.5	15.2	1.38
Craig Smith	37	38	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.20	10	1	9	16.4	14.4	1.95	16.7	15.1	1.51
Trenton Hassell	72	71	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.20	6	5	1	15.8	13.2	2.54	15.9	15.3	0.64
Kevin Garnett	73	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	4	3	15.4	14.4	0.96	15.6	16.4	-0.86
Ricky Davis	80	79	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	7	-3	14.1	21.8	-7.63	15.2	18.9	-3.73
Mike James	60	61	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	5	1	14.3	16.8	-2.45	16.0	15.2	0.83
Mark Madsen	20	21	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	7	-3	14.4	15.4	-0.96	16.4	15.6	0.86
Marko Jaric	27	28	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	6	-1	16.0	14.9	1.12	15.2	16.0	-0.79
Mark Blount	56	55	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	10	-9	14.4	16.4	-1.95	15.1	16.7	-1.51

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	65	65	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.25	8	-19	27	15.8	15.7	0.02	15.8	13.8	1.98
Allen Iverson	83	84	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-12	13	15.5	18.2	-2.73	15.1	15.8	-0.63
Rodney Carney	54	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-11	11	15.5	16.1	-0.63	14.9	15.6	-0.72
Steven Hunter	36	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	-3	-5	17.2	14.9	2.29	11.8	17.3	-5.46
Samuel Dalembert	53	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-9	7	15.8	15.7	0.07	16.4	13.7	2.63
Ivan McFarlin	7	7	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.08	-5	-6	1	14.3	15.9	-1.60	15.0	15.2	-0.22
Willie Green	29	29	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	2	-15	16.2	15.6	0.64	16.6	14.6	2.01
Kevin Ollie	27	26	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	0	-11	16.4	15.5	0.86	14.3	15.6	-1.30
Alan Henderson	22	24	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	2	-15	14.9	16.0	-1.18	16.2	14.8	1.41
Andre Iguodala	89	88	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	1	-13	15.6	19.0	-3.38	15.2	14.8	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.52,0.38,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.32,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, CHA 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0	94.1%
LAC 91, NJN 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0	94.1%
UTA 113, DEN 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.12,0.05,0.11,0.03,0.14,0.09,0	94.0%