inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 97 Excitement12.0 [11] MVPChris Bosh (TOR): +56.4%
Toronto Raptors 101 Comeback18.1 [78] LVPVince Carter (TOR): -69.4%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Scott Padgett0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00470%0.0500.002100%0.01
Moochie Norris0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.02-0.02550%0.051-0.032100%0.02
Alton Ford0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Steve Francis0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0-0.090.09-0.002741%0.061-0.067100%0.09
Bostjan Nachbar-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Torraye Braggs-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.00455%0.001-0.04367%0.01
Jim Jackson-0.080,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.06-0.01740%-0.061-0.031100%0.01
Kelvin Cato-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.00-0.00930%-0.002-0.102100%0.01
Yao Ming-0.290,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.11-0.18-0.011259%0.067-0.351080%0.01
Cuttino Mobley-0.310,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.31-0.13-0.18-0.001451%-0.096-0.22978%-0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.560.560.120.440.001178%0.611-0.0410100%0.13
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.020.013100%0.0700.002100%0.02
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.020.08-0.00857%0.132-0.07580%0.01
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.013100%0.062-0.052100%0.01
Alvin Williams0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio Davis0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.14-0.061054%-0.051-0.03475%-0.01
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.0050%-0.111-0.0200%0.00
Lamond Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.07-0.14-0.011541%-0.132-0.072100%0.02
Vince Carter0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.26,-0.23,-0.2,-0.22,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.35,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.34,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.38,-0.38,-0.45,-0.45,-0.5,-0.59,-0.59,-0.59,-0.65,-0.69,-0.69,-0.69-0.69-0.36-0.36-0.022034%-0.339-0.361377%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game25.22.733.016.426.52.740.01.620.81.721.8192.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.82.017.42.017.4150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +17.1%
TOR +2.0%
TOR +8.6%
TOR +14.1%
TOR +8.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUTORNBAHOUTORNBA
this game17.416.315.793.398.1100.5
season16.516.898.894.8
opponent15.715.698.497.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
HOU16.417.019.617.820.817.9
TOR13.015.017.417.319.115.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Torraye Braggs25240.22-0.720.950.143-71017.217.4-0.2115.416.5-1.10
Scott Padgett12140.06-0.560.61-0.064-81214.517.7-3.2312.916.8-3.94
Moochie Norris26270.03-0.530.550.11-3-1-217.517.30.1913.717.2-3.42
Alton Ford44-0.06-0.440.380.00-2-2017.517.30.1510.216.5-6.26
Yao Ming8888-0.11-0.390.28-0.172-6817.217.9-0.6916.813.33.51
Bostjan Nachbar2625-0.19-0.310.13-0.221-5616.317.7-1.3514.216.9-2.67
Cuttino Mobley9392-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.433-71017.615.61.9216.613.53.14
Steve Francis9290-0.690.19-0.87-0.42-95-1417.019.9-2.8916.514.81.62
Kelvin Cato7876-0.700.20-0.90-0.35-128-2018.115.22.9416.914.52.36
Jim Jackson7675-0.720.23-0.95-0.52-73-1017.716.51.1717.213.83.40

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter89890.59-0.090.680.2910-61616.316.3-0.0317.416.90.49
Milt Palacio70710.58-0.080.660.377-31016.515.80.7017.018.2-1.25
Antonio Davis77790.400.100.290.4004-416.415.90.5018.414.24.21
Morris Peterson21230.390.110.270.42-15-615.216.5-1.3516.717.5-0.85
Michael Curry38390.300.200.090.3004-414.117.6-3.5018.816.52.26
Chris Bosh68690.280.220.070.2322016.915.11.8317.217.7-0.50
Lamond Murray58580.140.36-0.220.0822018.113.94.2116.418.6-2.21
Alvin Williams3333-0.080.58-0.660.01-37-1015.816.5-0.7018.217.01.25
Jerome Williams6159-0.090.59-0.69-0.1831215.417.5-2.0916.418.6-2.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.08,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 129, MIL 1300.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.22,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.13,0.54,0.45,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.73,189.8%
IND 109, PHI 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.04,088.3%
BOS 105, IND 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.06,0.01,088.3%