NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	129		Excitement	16.7 [1]		MVP	Scott Williams (MIL): +71.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	130		Comeback	56.5 [28]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -60.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.51	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.47,0.71,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51	0.20	0.31	-0.00	14	84%	0.71	1	-0.20	4	50%	-0.11
Mitch Richmond	0.45	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.24,-0.06,0.45	-0.02	0.48	0.02	21	52%	0.60	3	-0.16	6	83%	0.03
Michael Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	77%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01
Reggie Jordan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerard King	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.07	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.10
Juwan Howard	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.02	14	61%	0.12	3	-0.19	5	80%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	14	59%	-0.02	4	-0.10	13	77%	-0.03
Aaron Williams	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.23	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	9	36%	-0.20	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.18
Jahidi White	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.10	-0.16	-0.01	8	25%	-0.15	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.72	0.72	-0.05	0.74	-0.03	4	61%	0.78	2	-0.06	10	70%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,0.27	0.27	-0.01	0.27	-0.02	16	44%	0.27	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.11	-0.00	9	62%	0.18	2	-0.08	8	75%	0.24
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	56%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	4	78%	0.15	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Haywoode Workman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.16,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4	-0.40	-0.02	-0.36	0.01	17	60%	-0.07	4	-0.33	13	85%	0.06
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.25,-0.31,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.6	-0.60	0.01	-0.58	0.03	30	55%	-0.24	5	-0.37	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	30.3	15.7	22.8	1.8	41.8	0.8	21.4	2.5	24.2	190.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -47.7%

MIL +69.0%

MIL +26.5%

MIL +3.4%

WAS -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIL	NBA	WAS	MIL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.2	111.2	112.1	101.7
season	15.5	14.9		101.1	105.5
opponent	15.4	14.8		105.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	15.9	14.5	13.4	14.8	16.5	14.8
MIL	11.8	16.1	17.2	15.9	18.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	56	60	0.64	-1.14	1.78	0.64	0	-1	1	14.9	14.8	0.04	15.7	14.5	1.18
Michael Smith	65	66	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.15	-3	2	-5	14.8	14.9	-0.02	13.8	16.9	-3.15
Richard Hamilton	21	23	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.15	7	-8	15	16.1	14.6	1.57	16.4	14.8	1.61
Gerard King	20	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-1	1	16.9	14.4	2.47	16.7	14.8	1.94
Rod Strickland	80	80	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	1	-3	14.6	15.4	-0.74	15.9	13.5	2.39
Reggie Jordan	9	7	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.47	6	-7	13	8.2	15.4	-7.19	13.1	15.3	-2.13
Chris Whitney	36	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.44	1	-2	3	15.4	14.6	0.74	13.5	15.9	-2.39
Juwan Howard	91	93	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	7	-15	15.0	14.2	0.78	15.1	15.4	-0.36
Tracy Murray	56	52	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.66	3	-4	7	14.8	14.9	-0.10	16.0	14.4	1.62
Aaron Williams	53	53	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.73	2	-3	5	14.8	14.9	-0.04	14.9	15.3	-0.37
Mitch Richmond	93	90	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.41	-11	10	-21	14.6	15.7	-1.10	14.9	16.0	-1.05

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Ellis	17	17	1.02	-0.52	1.54	1.02	0	1	-1	15.6	15.1	0.59	12.5	15.3	-2.72
Tim Thomas	70	69	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.60	6	-5	11	15.1	15.2	-0.08	15.5	13.9	1.58
Vinny Del Negro	48	47	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.56	-2	3	-5	16.5	14.2	2.27	14.4	15.1	-0.72
Scott Williams	65	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	-5	11	14.3	16.3	-1.98	14.7	15.0	-0.26
Haywoode Workman	33	32	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.64	-9	10	-19	15.6	15.0	0.64	14.4	15.0	-0.66
Ray Allen	84	85	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	-6	13	14.8	16.2	-1.39	15.1	14.3	0.77
Sam Cassell	63	65	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.10	8	-7	15	14.4	16.0	-1.57	14.7	15.1	-0.37
Glenn Robinson	98	98	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.24	7	-6	13	15.2	14.8	0.37	15.6	10.8	4.82
Robert Traylor	2	2	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	6	-11	11.0	15.2	-4.22	7.5	15.0	-7.48
Danny Manning	23	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.02	-4	5	-9	17.7	14.5	3.18	14.6	14.9	-0.32
Ervin Johnson	77	74	-0.84	1.34	-2.17	-0.57	-9	10	-19	15.1	15.3	-0.28	14.6	15.4	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.22,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.13,0.54,0.45,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.08,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.84,1	89.8%
MIN 114, WAS 117	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.27,1	88.7%
SEA 84, CHH 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.16,0.01,0.04,0	88.5%