inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 118 Excitement9.4 [136] MVPNikola Jokic (DEN): +17.2%
Denver Nuggets 120 Comeback6.0 [534] LVPDe'Aaron Fox (SAC): -10.6%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nemanja Bjelica0.110,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.010.01787%0.131-0.0210%-0.02
Buddy Hield0.090,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.09-0.030.130.012349%0.173-0.085100%0.03
Marvin Bagley III0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.03-0.00761%0.0900.00450%-0.05
Harry Giles III0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.030.00278%0.0900.005100%0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0,0.060.060.00-0.001352%0.0600.005100%0.03
Harrison Barnes0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.02-0.011947%0.051-0.022100%0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.010.030.000.02567%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Kosta Koufos0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alec Burks-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Yogi Ferrell-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.01633%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
De'Aaron Fox-0.110,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.02-0.050.031158%-0.004-0.10450%-0.03

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,0.170.17-0.04-0.11-0.331750%0.324-0.156100%0.04
Paul Millsap0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.160.020.031668%0.1600.00580%0.00
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.040.021854%0.1000.003100%0.02
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.04-0.01580%0.091-0.0000%0.00
Isaiah Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.05-0.00667%0.142-0.0800%0.00
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.02-0.001045%0.0300.002100%0.02
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00337%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,0,0,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.001245%0.103-0.13580%0.01
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.050.01856%-0.013-0.082100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.830.814.827.01.832.1133.3
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +20.5%
DEN +10.6%
DEN +40.6%
SAC -16.6%
SAC -5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACDENNBASACDENNBA
this game13.513.714.3111.3113.2109.3
season13.314.8109.2112.0
opponent14.614.3108.1110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC12.813.613.613.813.5
DEN15.312.610.716.913.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Willie Cauley-Stein48480.15-0.650.800.092-4614.412.81.6013.613.7-0.08
Alec Burks14150.11-0.610.71-0.014-61012.313.7-1.3815.713.42.30
Yogi Ferrell3333-0.07-0.430.350.01-31-413.513.50.0914.513.31.20
Marvin Bagley III5150-0.09-0.410.31-0.090-2213.413.6-0.2113.713.7-0.02
Harry Giles III2928-0.15-0.350.20-0.03-42-612.713.8-1.1413.413.8-0.35
De'Aaron Fox7172-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.415-71213.214.0-0.7313.314.6-1.28
Kosta Koufos1213-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.23-20-214.513.41.1516.313.32.99
Nemanja Bjelica4849-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.310-2213.513.5-0.0012.015.1-3.14
Harrison Barnes9291-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.462-4613.513.20.3113.614.1-0.52
Buddy Hield7575-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.41-1-1013.613.10.5013.314.5-1.17
Bogdan Bogdanovic5756-0.740.24-0.98-0.36-1311-2413.413.6-0.2814.812.42.40

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mason Plumlee46500.57-0.070.650.5120213.913.50.4013.113.9-0.80
Paul Millsap69680.54-0.040.580.289-71613.813.50.3513.413.6-0.19
Will Barton73710.480.020.450.4220213.214.8-1.5513.413.7-0.39
Torrey Craig27310.440.060.390.3920213.213.8-0.6313.213.6-0.36
Nikola Jokic81800.440.060.380.3820213.215.2-1.9313.812.61.20
Monte Morris51500.320.180.140.127-51215.512.03.4713.213.7-0.57
Isaiah Thomas29290.080.42-0.330.0220214.913.21.6212.813.8-0.99
Jamal Murray7069-0.100.60-0.690.14-810-1813.314.5-1.1913.812.90.95
Trey Lyles1514-0.110.61-0.710.01-46-1015.713.42.3012.313.7-1.38
Malik Beasley6968-0.180.68-0.85-0.06-46-1012.815.4-2.5514.212.22.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.2,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.25,0.41,0.4,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.83,0.9,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 104, SAS 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.74,0.84,0.95,192.1%
PHI 88, SAS 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.68,0.75,0.89,0.96,0.92,192.0%
MIL 104, MIA 1080.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.85,0.96,192.0%