NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	7.2 [368]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +37.0%
San Antonio Spurs	112		Comeback	7.4 [273]		LVP	Marcus Morris (PHX): -14.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16	0.06	0.12	0.01	9	65%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.14	-0.03	0.01	19	63%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Markieff Morris	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	14	62%	0.18	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Alex Len	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.12	-0.01	16	75%	0.30	7	-0.34	8	75%	0.01
Ish Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	8	19%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	7	21%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.30	0.11	0.04	17	87%	0.39	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.16	0.01	14	58%	0.24	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.08	0.00	11	46%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	18	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damion James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	45%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	12	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	29.4	15.7	28.3	2.6	29.4	131.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +23.3%

PHX -9.4%

PHX -12.0%

SAS +48.6%

PHX -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	14.7	14.4	15.1	105.1	113.1	105.2
season	14.7	15.0		107.7	109.8
opponent	15.0	14.9		101.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.1	18.1	17.0	13.3	14.7
SAS	15.2	12.6	13.7	16.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	54	52	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.15	-1	-7	6	14.4	15.0	-0.63	14.6	14.3	0.30
Alex Len	3	4	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-10	12	17.7	14.6	3.10	16.7	14.3	2.41
Archie Goodwin	4	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.14	-8	0	-8	12.7	14.7	-1.99	6.2	14.8	-8.53
Eric Bledsoe	77	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-9	10	13.9	17.2	-3.25	14.9	12.8	2.14
Markieff Morris	56	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	0	-8	15.2	14.0	1.24	14.0	15.0	-0.94
Channing Frye	70	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.39	2	-10	12	13.6	17.2	-3.61	14.8	13.4	1.39
PJ Tucker	76	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-3	-2	14.6	14.8	-0.22	14.2	15.0	-0.79
Ish Smith	39	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	1	-10	16.4	13.5	2.89	14.2	14.6	-0.41
Marcus Morris	42	43	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	5	-18	16.9	13.0	3.82	13.9	14.8	-0.93
Gerald Green	74	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.50	-1	-7	6	14.1	16.4	-2.33	14.7	13.6	1.06

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	78	78	0.98	-0.48	1.47	0.31	23	-15	38	13.9	16.3	-2.35	15.4	12.0	3.37
Patty Mills	57	55	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.20	17	-9	26	13.6	15.5	-1.85	15.6	13.5	2.04
Boris Diaw	69	68	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-5	18	14.1	15.2	-1.10	15.6	12.6	3.02
Marco Belinelli	56	56	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	3	2	14.8	13.9	0.93	14.3	15.1	-0.85
Kawhi Leonard	70	70	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	5	-2	14.6	14.1	0.47	14.2	15.8	-1.61
Jeff Ayres	40	40	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	-2	12	13.9	14.8	-0.85	16.6	13.3	3.30
Damion James	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	0.0	14.4	-14.43	4.0	14.8	-10.77
Aron Baynes	9	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.08	2	6	-4	13.1	14.6	-1.46	14.5	14.7	-0.17
Cory Joseph	2	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	10	-12	9.5	14.5	-5.04	9.7	14.8	-5.15
Austin Daye	30	31	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	13	-18	15.2	14.1	1.10	12.6	15.6	-3.02
Tiago Splitter	34	35	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.09	-11	19	-30	14.8	14.2	0.55	13.1	15.5	-2.34
Tony Parker	50	50	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	-0.03	-15	23	-38	16.1	12.8	3.28	13.6	15.7	-2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.74,0.84,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 118, DEN 120	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.2,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.25,0.41,0.4,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.83,0.9,0.96,1	92.1%
NJN 92, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.67,0.86,0.7,0.78,0.85,1	91.6%
IND 94, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.54,0.54,0.74,0.92,0.9,1,1	91.1%