NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	88		Excitement	7.0 [384]		MVP	Avery Johnson (SAS): +14.1%
San Antonio Spurs	100		Comeback	4.5 [547]		LVP	Brian Shaw (PHI): -20.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	10	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kebu Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08	0.10	-0.14	0.03	27	57%	-0.03	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Theo Ratliff	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	13	43%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Scott Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	5	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Allen Iverson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	22	40%	-0.14	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Brian Shaw	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.07	-0.03	12	12%	-0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	11	83%	0.24	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.10	0.01	6	67%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	21	59%	0.12	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Reggie Geary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.02	9	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	35%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	63%	0.02	4	-0.10	11	64%	-0.04
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	6	31%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	29.0	17.0	23.6	1.0	34.4	131.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +74.8%

PHI -16.4%

SAS +7.7%

PHI -17.3%

SAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAS	NBA	PHI	SAS	NBA
this game	17.3	15.6	15.6	101.1	113.6	102.5
season	15.4	15.9		99.7	100.9
opponent	15.9	15.5		97.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.5	19.9	19.6	15.2	17.3
SAS	15.8	18.9	15.7	13.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	6	7	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-16	20	17.2	17.3	-0.14	14.1	15.8	-1.61
Eric Snow	14	13	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-12	12	17.4	17.3	0.07	15.6	15.6	-0.01
Kebu Stewart	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.12	-4	-8	4	21.5	16.8	4.75	15.7	15.6	0.12
Anthony Parker	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.14	-5	-7	2	7.3	17.7	-10.32	2.0	15.9	-13.94
Scott Williams	26	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-9	6	18.3	16.9	1.44	15.1	15.9	-0.74
Joe Smith	53	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-10	8	18.6	15.3	3.29	16.6	14.1	2.41
Derrick Coleman	77	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-12	12	17.1	19.0	-1.92	16.2	11.4	4.77
Allen Iverson	74	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-8	4	16.9	19.7	-2.81	16.2	12.5	3.62
Aaron McKie	50	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-4	-4	16.9	17.8	-0.84	14.9	16.6	-1.67
Theo Ratliff	61	60	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.17	-17	5	-22	16.5	19.3	-2.81	15.1	16.7	-1.55
Brian Shaw	61	63	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.14	-21	9	-30	17.5	16.9	0.59	15.1	16.8	-1.70

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	49	46	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	3	6	14.1	17.6	-3.48	16.7	18.0	-1.33
Tim Duncan	82	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	1	10	15.6	16.3	-0.76	17.7	12.3	5.45
Vinny Del Negro	72	72	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.15	13	-1	14	15.0	18.4	-3.44	17.0	18.8	-1.81
Avery Johnson	75	73	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.26	8	4	4	15.4	16.7	-1.25	17.2	17.6	-0.41
Jaren Jackson	34	33	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	2	8	14.6	16.3	-1.69	16.2	18.0	-1.85
Malik Rose	25	24	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.08	8	4	4	16.2	15.4	0.75	20.6	16.0	4.59
Reggie Geary	13	14	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	8	-4	16.7	15.4	1.25	17.6	17.2	0.41
Carl Herrera	6	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	10	-8	19.3	15.4	3.98	21.3	16.8	4.50
Monty Williams	46	47	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.01	-5	17	-22	16.8	14.3	2.52	16.4	18.3	-1.85
Will Perdue	38	37	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.16	0	12	-12	17.4	14.2	3.21	16.7	17.7	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.68,0.75,0.89,0.96,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 104, MIA 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.85,0.96,1	93.3%
SAC 106, DET 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.73,0.75,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	92.7%
DET 82, POR 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.72,1	92.5%