NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	113		Excitement	6.6 [549]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +18.5%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	3.9 [106]		LVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): -14.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Shamet	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.03	0.01	4	111%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.02	0.04	13	74%	0.19	4	-0.09	9	67%	-0.03
Jonah Bolden	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	12	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	12	28%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.22,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.18	0.01	-0.03	24	43%	0.01	8	-0.16	12	83%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.19	0.03	0.04	27	71%	0.36	6	-0.17	4	75%	0.01
Alfonzo McKinnie	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	5	92%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.01	-0.00	8	70%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	24	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	10	32%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.5	26.1	15.6	27.7	1.8	30.4	131.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +13.1%

PHI +9.9%

PHI +25.9%

GSW -0.3%

PHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	GSW	NBA	PHI	GSW	NBA
this game	15.2	13.6	14.3	113.0	104.0	109.3
season	14.0	13.4		110.9	114.5
opponent	15.0	14.1		108.9	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.5	15.2	13.4	19.0	15.2
GSW	14.2	13.0	13.7	13.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Simmons	79	81	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.19	9	0	9	15.3	14.5	0.82	13.3	15.1	-1.82
Jimmy Butler	78	78	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	0	9	14.9	16.1	-1.18	13.6	13.6	-0.01
Jonah Bolden	31	30	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	-1	11	15.8	14.9	0.92	13.3	13.8	-0.42
Mike Muscala	42	39	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	5	-1	17.5	13.5	4.06	13.7	13.6	0.19
T.J. McConnell	34	33	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	3	3	15.1	15.2	-0.12	14.3	13.3	0.96
Landry Shamet	32	34	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	-2	13	15.2	15.1	0.07	13.5	13.7	-0.15
JJ Redick	69	67	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.26	-2	11	-13	15.0	15.6	-0.60	13.5	13.9	-0.37
Joel Embiid	69	70	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.22	-1	10	-11	14.9	15.8	-0.92	13.8	13.3	0.42
Corey Brewer	20	20	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	6	-3	14.9	15.2	-0.34	13.9	13.5	0.40
Wilson Chandler	46	48	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.02	-4	13	-17	13.6	16.5	-2.93	13.8	13.5	0.31

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alfonzo McKinnie	58	56	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-11	13	13.5	13.9	-0.39	15.1	15.3	-0.18
Quinn Cook	23	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-7	5	14.5	13.4	1.10	15.1	15.2	-0.06
Kevon Looney	45	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-5	1	13.0	14.1	-1.11	16.8	13.8	3.00
Draymond Green	73	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-10	11	13.7	13.4	0.30	15.1	15.3	-0.22
DeMarcus Cousins	55	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-4	-1	14.1	13.0	1.11	13.8	16.8	-3.00
Stephen Curry	80	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-3	-3	13.5	13.9	-0.40	15.2	14.9	0.34
Andre Iguodala	55	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	3	-15	13.4	13.9	-0.55	15.6	14.6	0.99
Kevin Durant	79	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-4	-1	13.5	14.0	-0.53	15.4	14.5	0.84
Shaun Livingston	32	33	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	5	-19	14.0	13.4	0.59	14.1	15.7	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 95, GSW 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
IND 97, BOS 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
PHX 124, DAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%