NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	95		Excitement	5.1 [789]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +19.1%
Golden State Warriors	85		Comeback	5.3 [94]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -19.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	8	83%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.07	-0.02	16	50%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	14	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Earl Watson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	5	42%	0.01	4	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Pau Gasol	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	11	54%	0.02	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Theron Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	14	47%	-0.04	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	13	45%	-0.02	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.18	-0.05	-0.03	17	39%	-0.10	4	-0.10	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	0.7	27.2	15.0	31.2	1.6	26.2	132.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +50.4%

GSW -6.2%

GSW -13.4%

MEM +18.5%

MEM +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	16.2	15.7	15.7	105.6	93.4	100.5
season	15.3	16.1		102.3	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.7		101.6	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.6	18.8	13.7	17.8	16.2
GSW	16.7	14.8	16.9	14.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	60	61	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.05	18	-8	26	15.3	17.9	-2.57	15.4	16.2	-0.79
Stromile Swift	36	37	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.09	15	-5	20	14.9	17.0	-2.02	17.5	14.4	3.15
Bo Outlaw	43	42	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	3	4	16.4	15.9	0.50	15.1	16.1	-1.02
Jason Williams	60	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	5	0	16.5	15.4	1.18	15.3	16.4	-1.04
Bonzi Wells	59	58	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	7	-4	15.8	16.9	-1.14	16.2	14.7	1.48
Pau Gasol	70	71	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	6	-2	16.5	14.8	1.68	15.5	16.2	-0.68
Theron Smith	22	22	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	2	6	17.4	15.8	1.60	14.4	16.1	-1.72
Earl Watson	30	29	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	5	0	15.4	16.5	-1.18	16.4	15.3	1.04
James Posey	39	41	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.17	-9	19	-28	17.4	15.2	2.17	16.0	15.4	0.60
Jake Tsakalidis	31	32	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.01	-6	16	-22	16.4	16.1	0.30	14.6	16.3	-1.71

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	67	66	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-12	14	15.4	16.5	-1.18	16.0	16.5	-0.41
Jason Richardson	72	72	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.27	6	-16	22	14.9	18.5	-3.54	16.2	15.9	0.26
Mike Dunleavy	77	79	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.26	3	-13	16	15.3	17.9	-2.58	16.0	17.1	-1.07
Mickael Pietrus	44	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-3	-4	15.9	15.4	0.51	14.5	17.6	-3.06
Rusty LaRue	17	16	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	1	-12	18.5	15.0	3.44	15.9	16.2	-0.34
Calbert Cheaney	47	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-7	4	15.4	15.9	-0.51	17.6	14.5	3.06
Adonal Foyle	17	14	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	4	-18	16.7	15.4	1.27	16.6	16.1	0.49
Clifford Robinson	78	78	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	-3	-4	15.4	17.0	-1.55	16.3	15.3	0.95
Brian Cardinal	36	35	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.01	-19	9	-28	17.2	14.6	2.61	16.2	16.1	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 104, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0	95.1%
PHI 113, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	93.8%
MIL 127, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.54,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.13,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%