NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	127		Excitement	5.7 [725]		MVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): +25.1%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	3.1 [877]		LVP	Ish Smith (DET): -11.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.08	23	62%	0.27	1	-0.03	20	75%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.01	11	62%	0.15	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
Nikola Mirotic	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	7	75%	0.11	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
George Hill	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	3	87%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	12	64%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	78%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	117%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	4	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Sterling Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.09	-0.01	20	60%	0.25	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.06	-0.04	15	69%	0.22	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	11	45%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khyri Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	56%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	40%	-0.01	2	-0.00	3	67%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	16	43%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	0.04	11	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.4	3.5	33.5	16.3	33.6	3.4	27.6	150.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +17.9%

MIL +31.9%

MIL +13.9%

DET -14.0%

MIL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DET	NBA	MIL	DET	NBA
this game	12.7	15.2	14.3	121.0	102.0	109.3
season	13.5	15.3		112.4	107.5
opponent	14.0	14.3		109.0	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.9	12.2	12.5	13.0	12.7
DET	14.3	15.6	17.0	14.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Mirotic	43	42	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.03	15	8	7	13.0	12.4	0.64	14.5	15.7	-1.18
Giannis Antetokounmpo	69	69	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.19	22	1	21	11.9	14.1	-2.16	15.9	13.8	2.04
George Hill	46	42	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.45	29	-6	35	11.2	13.8	-2.62	15.2	15.2	-0.05
Ersan Ilyasova	38	38	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	10	3	11.9	13.1	-1.21	16.3	14.5	1.83
Pat Connaughton	57	54	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	11	1	13.1	12.1	1.04	14.2	16.3	-2.07
Eric Bledsoe	60	59	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.09	13	10	3	12.4	13.0	-0.54	15.8	14.4	1.34
Sterling Brown	60	59	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	14	-5	12.3	13.2	-0.89	15.9	14.2	1.67
Brook Lopez	57	54	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.20	10	13	-3	13.0	12.2	0.81	15.7	14.6	1.08
D.J. Wilson	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	25	-27	14.5	12.4	2.05	10.6	15.9	-5.25
Tony Snell	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	28	-33	17.4	12.2	5.23	9.9	15.7	-5.82
Tim Frazier	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	28	-33	17.4	12.2	5.23	9.9	15.7	-5.82
Khris Middleton	64	62	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.20	4	19	-15	12.8	12.4	0.45	16.0	14.0	1.93

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Brown	32	34	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.01	3	-26	29	15.9	14.9	1.08	13.1	12.5	0.67
Khyri Thomas	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-28	33	9.9	15.7	-5.82	17.4	12.2	5.23
Jose Calderon	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-28	33	9.9	15.7	-5.82	17.4	12.2	5.23
Andre Drummond	70	72	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.28	-11	-12	1	15.7	14.1	1.61	12.7	12.6	0.04
Reggie Jackson	67	67	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.43	-17	-6	-11	16.0	13.6	2.47	12.5	13.0	-0.56
Blake Griffin	60	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-16	9	15.0	15.4	-0.35	12.4	13.1	-0.72
Glenn Robinson III	5	5	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-18	13	18.4	15.0	3.37	13.4	12.6	0.77
Wayne Ellington	61	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.40	-24	1	-25	15.9	14.2	1.67	12.1	13.4	-1.31
Ish Smith	26	29	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	-12	1	14.8	15.3	-0.47	11.7	13.1	-1.40
Langston Galloway	70	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.23	-23	0	-23	14.9	15.8	-0.85	12.5	13.1	-0.66
Thon Maker	32	33	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	-11	-1	14.1	15.7	-1.61	12.6	12.7	-0.04
Luke Kennard	69	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	-5	-13	15.1	15.4	-0.25	12.7	12.5	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.54,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.13,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 95, GSW 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
ATL 103, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.6,0.54,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0	93.0%
PHI 113, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	92.7%