inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 104 Excitement5.5 [682] MVPStephen Jackson (GSW): +16.0%
Orlando Magic 95 Comeback3.5 [141] LVPHedo Turkoglu (ORL): -10.9%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Jackson0.160,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.060.06-0.041753%0.1600.00475%0.01
Baron Davis0.050,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.010.012753%0.133-0.08875%-0.00
Matt Barnes0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.01
Al Harrington-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.03-0.001347%0.073-0.074100%0.02
Andris Biedrins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.022100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
CJ Watson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mickael Pietrus-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.011137%-0.0100.00250%-0.00
Kelenna Azubuike-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.02540%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Monta Ellis-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.020.041353%0.002-0.054100%0.02
Austin Croshere-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.010.02420%-0.0700.002100%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.011858%0.124-0.0900%0.00
Brian Cook00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.00350%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00436%-0.0100.00333%-0.04
Maurice Evans0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.00642%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.06-0.050.061462%0.074-0.121471%-0.03
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.020.04762%0.003-0.062100%0.00
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00623%-0.0600.001100%0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.030.041761%0.067-0.17475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.830.915.827.82.832.4137.1
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL -2.0%
GSW +9.1%
GSW +18.5%
GSW +25.6%
ORL -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWORLNBAGSWORLNBA
this game13.414.615.4101.092.2105.7
season13.515.1109.8109.9
opponent15.615.1104.6107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.414.712.713.913.4
ORL12.915.315.514.914.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Jackson93930.52-0.020.540.3272512.917.7-4.8014.515.1-0.56
Baron Davis97980.51-0.010.530.2210-11113.314.0-0.6714.811.23.57
Mickael Pietrus69690.460.040.410.1112-31513.812.51.3015.013.81.19
Al Harrington46470.430.070.350.0413-41713.713.10.6315.014.30.67
Monta Ellis92900.340.160.170.1954113.314.2-0.9114.515.4-0.91
Andris Biedrins41400.200.30-0.100.1136-313.013.6-0.5715.014.30.71
CJ Watson670.150.35-0.200.0636-313.313.4-0.0413.914.6-0.79
Matt Barnes14120.070.43-0.36-0.0236-313.113.4-0.2615.214.50.74
Kelenna Azubuike4143-0.050.55-0.600.07-413-1714.112.91.2113.915.1-1.26
Austin Croshere1616-0.120.62-0.750.08-716-2313.213.4-0.1412.415.0-2.55

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Adonal Foyle660.05-0.550.60-0.012-111317.214.42.7312.513.4-0.92
Jameer Nelson6968-0.08-0.420.34-0.235-141913.417.1-3.7313.313.5-0.13
Brian Cook76-0.11-0.390.290.07-6-3-319.014.34.7318.013.14.92
Carlos Arroyo1718-0.15-0.350.20-0.00-5-4-117.114.13.0212.313.6-1.32
Hedo Turkoglu8990-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.22-3-6314.614.9-0.3113.711.12.62
Maurice Evans5656-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.10-8-1-714.314.9-0.6313.013.8-0.85
Keyon Dooling2828-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.06-101-1117.213.63.6513.413.30.08
Rashard Lewis9191-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.14-8-1-714.813.31.4213.313.7-0.43
Keith Bogans6261-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.20-7-2-514.115.3-1.1213.713.00.70
Dwight Howard9091-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.30-5-4-114.118.2-4.0813.115.2-2.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 95, GSW 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,095.1%
DET 112, CHA 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.33,0.09,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,093.6%
POR 108, BKN 980.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,093.6%