NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	112		Excitement	5.4 [754]		MVP	Charlie Villanueva (DET): +15.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	101		Comeback	4.2 [176]		LVP	Garrett Temple (CHA): -17.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.03	-0.02	15	61%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	18	55%	0.16	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.02	10	70%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	71%	0.07	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Ben Gordon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.04	0.02	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	79%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	4	-0.09	6	50%	-0.03

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	10	73%	0.15	2	-0.05	6	17%	-0.09
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	17	55%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	54%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.04	0.02	13	71%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.04	11	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.03	9	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.6	32.0	15.8	20.3	2.4	29.0	122.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +19.0%

DET +17.0%

DET +12.2%

DET +3.4%

CHA -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHA	NBA	DET	CHA	NBA
this game	15.8	15.9	15.5	124.4	109.8	105.7
season	16.7	16.2		106.4	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.2		106.5	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.4	13.5	17.0	15.6	15.8
CHA	16.9	15.8	17.3	13.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	77	78	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.06	21	-10	31	15.4	18.1	-2.70	15.8	16.6	-0.82
Austin Daye	45	47	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	-2	15	14.3	17.3	-3.00	14.6	17.2	-2.67
Ben Gordon	51	53	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	0	11	15.0	16.7	-1.68	14.6	17.6	-3.01
Chris Wilcox	34	35	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	4	3	16.1	15.6	0.56	17.9	14.7	3.19
Charlie Villanueva	48	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	0	11	14.5	17.2	-2.62	14.8	17.1	-2.28
Tayshaun Prince	40	40	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	10	-9	17.8	14.1	3.66	17.2	14.9	2.33
Jason Maxiell	49	49	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	9	-7	15.9	15.6	0.24	15.2	16.6	-1.40
Richard Hamilton	39	39	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.17	0	11	-11	16.7	15.0	1.68	17.6	14.6	3.01
Greg Monroe	54	55	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	12	-13	16.3	15.0	1.28	16.3	15.2	1.07
Tracy McGrady	13	14	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.11	-10	21	-31	18.1	15.4	2.70	16.6	15.8	0.82

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	68	66	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.26	7	-18	25	16.1	15.3	0.80	16.0	15.2	0.82
Gerald Henderson	65	63	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.31	7	-18	25	15.5	16.9	-1.43	16.5	14.0	2.52
Dominic McGuire	42	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-7	3	14.9	16.7	-1.88	14.4	16.8	-2.37
Boris Diaw	72	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-10	9	15.9	15.9	-0.02	15.6	16.2	-0.56
Dante Cunningham	50	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-4	-3	16.7	14.9	1.88	16.8	14.4	2.37
Kwame Brown	71	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-5	-1	16.3	14.5	1.76	16.0	14.9	1.19
Matt Carroll	38	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	4	-19	15.6	16.1	-0.56	14.9	16.4	-1.46
DJ White	30	30	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	7	-25	16.3	15.7	0.57	14.9	16.2	-1.30
Garrett Temple	24	24	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.08	-18	7	-25	15.3	16.1	-0.80	15.2	16.0	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.33,0.09,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 104, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0	93.6%
POR 108, BKN 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%
UTA 93, HOU 71	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.0%