NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	108		Excitement	5.0 [836]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (POR): +22.0%
Brooklyn Nets	98		Comeback	2.9 [314]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BKN): -12.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.03	13	86%	0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.01	13	61%	0.16	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	16	66%	0.13	4	-0.04	9	100%	0.02
Thomas Robinson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	6	60%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Mo Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.03	0.04	-0.07	14	43%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	58%	0.02	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Joel Freeland	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.02	0.03	14	66%	0.13	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.06	0.02	4	73%	0.13	0	0.00	7	86%	0.04
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	1	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	46%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	45%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tornike Shengelia	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	19	42%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyshawn Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	12	34%	-0.08	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	28.5	15.8	27.0	2.5	31.4	131.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +83.0%

BKN -25.7%

BKN -1.7%

BKN -6.5%

POR +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BKN	NBA	POR	BKN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.4	15.1	116.1	106.5	105.2
season	15.1	15.7		109.6	105.1
opponent	15.5	14.8		106.7	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.8	14.9	15.0	15.5	15.8
BKN	15.6	16.4	16.3	13.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	60	59	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.18	18	-8	26	15.6	16.1	-0.51	15.0	16.0	-0.94
Thomas Robinson	26	26	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	-3	16	13.8	16.5	-2.66	16.6	14.9	1.74
Wesley Matthews	72	71	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	6	-2	15.8	15.5	0.37	15.3	15.5	-0.20
Dorell Wright	22	21	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	-1	12	15.0	16.0	-1.00	16.5	15.0	1.50
Robin Lopez	46	48	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	2	6	15.6	15.9	-0.31	16.8	13.8	2.97
Joel Freeland	36	32	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	6	-2	15.9	15.7	0.16	15.2	15.5	-0.28
Nicolas Batum	65	66	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	13	-16	16.0	15.2	0.84	15.1	16.0	-0.93
LaMarcus Aldridge	67	66	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	13	-16	16.5	13.8	2.66	14.9	16.6	-1.74
Damian Lillard	71	71	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	15.9	15.4	0.52	14.7	17.6	-2.85

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	53	54	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.08	3	-13	16	16.4	13.9	2.47	16.2	15.2	1.05
Tornike Shengelia	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	8.5	15.5	-7.02	24.0	15.7	8.33
Reggie Evans	51	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.15	3	-13	16	16.3	14.2	2.03	16.4	14.9	1.54
Paul Pierce	62	63	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.15	2	-12	14	15.0	16.2	-1.28	15.8	15.7	0.09
Jason Terry	37	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-8	6	14.1	16.3	-2.20	15.4	16.0	-0.66
Andray Blatche	42	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-8	6	15.8	15.0	0.85	15.6	15.9	-0.23
Alan Anderson	40	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-5	0	13.8	16.6	-2.78	15.8	15.7	0.03
Tyshawn Taylor	22	21	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	0	-10	15.5	15.3	0.23	15.5	15.8	-0.37
Kevin Garnett	48	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	0	-10	15.2	15.5	-0.25	15.7	15.8	-0.12
Mason Plumlee	31	31	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	3	-16	15.5	15.3	0.12	14.8	16.3	-1.48
Joe Johnson	72	74	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.07	-18	8	-26	15.8	13.9	1.88	15.6	16.3	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, HOU 71	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
TOR 101, MIA 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%
CHI 110, WAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%