NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	5.3 [777]		MVP	Jordan Crawford (BOS): +15.6%
Boston Celtics	82		Comeback	2.9 [741]		LVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): -16.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.04	0.06	20	59%	0.11	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
David West	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	14	53%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.02	9	77%	0.14	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Copeland	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	-0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Donald Sloan	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	8	50%	0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	11	27%	-0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.03	-0.02	12	96%	0.26	6	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	13	71%	0.10	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	12	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	3	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	10	30%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Vitor Faverani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	24.4	15.4	25.5	2.8	27.3	120.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +12.8%

IND +0.7%

IND +14.0%

IND +21.5%

IND +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	16.1	15.4	15.1	104.3	91.1	105.2
season	15.8	15.4		102.7	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		106.0	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.5	16.3	13.4	16.7	16.1
BOS	15.1	14.3	16.8	15.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	71	70	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.05	16	-1	17	15.9	16.8	-0.87	15.9	13.6	2.26
David West	57	54	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	1	13	15.3	17.4	-2.14	16.6	13.4	3.19
George Hill	72	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	4	7	16.2	15.8	0.45	15.9	13.7	2.16
Lance Stephenson	81	78	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	4	7	15.8	18.1	-2.27	15.9	11.7	4.26
Roy Hibbert	54	54	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	10	-5	16.1	16.1	-0.04	16.0	14.4	1.52
Ian Mahinmi	26	24	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	9	-3	15.4	16.4	-1.00	14.8	15.6	-0.77
Luis Scola	49	48	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	10	-5	17.5	14.6	2.88	13.5	17.5	-3.93
Orlando Johnson	18	17	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	14	-13	17.4	15.8	1.59	12.9	15.9	-2.98
Donald Sloan	21	22	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	11	-7	15.8	16.2	-0.45	13.7	15.9	-2.16
Chris Copeland	16	15	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	13	-11	17.1	15.9	1.15	12.8	15.9	-3.07

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	21	22	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.05	6	-21	27	15.5	15.3	0.16	18.7	15.3	3.43
Kris Humphries	29	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-18	21	15.5	15.3	0.24	16.3	16.0	0.33
Phil Pressey	12	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-13	11	17.0	15.1	1.90	14.9	16.3	-1.37
Jared Sullinger	59	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-6	-3	16.3	13.6	2.71	15.8	16.6	-0.77
Jeff Green	68	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-9	3	15.7	14.3	1.37	16.8	14.0	2.74
Avery Bradley	60	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-4	-7	15.7	14.7	1.03	16.1	16.1	-0.02
Jordan Crawford	62	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-7	-1	15.8	14.4	1.40	16.2	15.9	0.36
Vitor Faverani	20	22	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	-6	-3	13.8	15.8	-1.94	16.2	16.1	0.10
Courtney Lee	31	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-6	-3	14.3	15.9	-1.62	15.8	16.3	-0.50
Gerald Wallace	43	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-3	-9	14.2	16.4	-2.15	15.5	16.7	-1.24
Brandon Bass	45	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.04	-18	3	-21	14.4	16.3	-1.82	15.0	17.2	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 113, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	93.7%
GSW 104, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	93.5%
CHI 109, ORL 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.27,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%