NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	124		Excitement	5.4 [762]		MVP	Alec Peters (PHX): +45.7%
Dallas Mavericks	97		Comeback	3.5 [249]		LVP	Kyle Collinsworth (DAL): -14.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Peters	0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.31	0.17	0.03	20	82%	0.49	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Danuel House	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.05	0.03	12	62%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Alex Len	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	10	75%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Tyler Ulis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	10	61%	0.11	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Dragan Bender	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.12	0.00	0.10	6	100%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Davon Reed	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.03	0.05	11	72%	0.06	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	7	71%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnathan Motley	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	19	50%	0.05	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.02	-0.05	17	39%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Harrison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	18	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jalen Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	13	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Kyle Collinsworth	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	13	33%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	24.2	14.7	23.0	1.8	27.2	116.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +91.9%

DAL -1.6%

DAL -24.7%

DAL -17.6%

PHX +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	13.4	17.2	14.7	129.2	104.3	107.5
season	14.2	15.4		102.6	105.3
opponent	14.3	14.3		108.1	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.2	13.9	13.0	12.5	13.4
DAL	16.5	19.1	17.6	15.8	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille Harrison	71	72	0.74	-0.24	0.99	-0.37	38	-11	49	12.7	15.3	-2.66	16.6	19.3	-2.72
Danuel House	81	78	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.26	30	-3	33	13.9	10.7	3.19	16.6	20.2	-3.60
Dragan Bender	77	72	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.33	32	-5	37	13.3	13.6	-0.35	17.5	16.0	1.47
Jared Dudley	64	62	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.25	19	8	11	13.0	14.0	-0.97	17.4	16.7	0.76
Alec Peters	57	55	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.34	20	7	13	11.9	15.5	-3.68	18.1	15.9	2.13
Alex Len	52	51	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	24	-21	14.9	11.5	3.34	16.7	17.7	-1.01
Tyler Ulis	56	55	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	25	-23	13.1	13.7	-0.68	17.9	16.1	1.78
Davon Reed	22	20	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.02	-9	36	-45	15.9	12.6	3.31	16.4	17.4	-0.93

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnathan Motley	56	57	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.39	-9	-18	9	16.5	18.2	-1.67	13.7	12.9	0.81
Maxi Kleber	27	28	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-28	29	18.7	16.6	2.09	13.1	13.4	-0.30
Yogi Ferrell	14	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-24	21	20.0	16.7	3.32	11.2	13.8	-2.55
Kyle Collinsworth	86	90	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.28	-25	-2	-23	17.2	16.6	0.66	13.3	13.7	-0.33
Dorian Finney-Smith	79	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.24	-24	-3	-21	16.7	20.0	-3.32	13.8	11.2	2.55
Aaron Harrison	93	96	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.29	-27	0	-27	17.2	0.0	17.18	13.4	0.0	13.35
Jalen Jones	68	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.33	-31	4	-35	17.6	16.0	1.62	12.2	16.4	-4.21
Dwight Powell	42	43	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.13	-17	-10	-7	16.3	17.9	-1.59	15.0	12.1	2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 115, SAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.71,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
PHI 113, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	93.1%
HOU 83, SEA 72	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0	93.1%