NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	106		Excitement	7.6 [376]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (IND): +40.4%
Indiana Pacers	110		Comeback	1.0 [1008]		LVP	Fred VanVleet (TOR): -8.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0.23	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.23	0.11	0.13	0.00	19	59%	0.23	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	9	50%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Norman Powell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	60%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Delon Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.03	-0.02	13	62%	0.16	5	-0.14	6	83%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	46%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Patrick McCaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	16	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Fred VanVleet	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	14	47%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.4	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.00	19	59%	0.43	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.05	-0.00	5	80%	0.16	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	11	59%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	0.00	13	50%	0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.04
Myles Turner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	13	46%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	10	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	32.3	14.7	30.4	2.4	38.1	143.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +15.6%

IND +11.0%

IND +10.1%

IND +10.4%

IND +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	IND	NBA	TOR	IND	NBA
this game	15.0	15.5	14.3	111.6	117.0	109.3
season	14.3	14.5		111.5	108.4
opponent	14.6	14.5		105.7	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.3	13.7	14.0	16.2	15.0
IND	15.0	15.1	15.4	16.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick McCaw	24	24	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.17	9	-13	22	15.2	14.9	0.26	15.7	15.4	0.27
Norman Powell	42	42	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.09	4	-8	12	13.8	16.0	-2.15	14.1	16.6	-2.44
Delon Wright	31	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-4	4	13.9	15.6	-1.69	13.5	16.4	-2.89
CJ Miles	25	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.20	5	-9	14	13.5	15.5	-2.02	14.1	16.0	-1.84
Greg Monroe	18	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	1	-6	13.2	15.4	-2.27	12.6	16.1	-3.53
Danny Green	52	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	1	-6	15.3	14.7	0.66	16.5	14.2	2.28
Serge Ibaka	67	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.32	-5	1	-6	15.7	13.3	2.45	16.3	13.5	2.74
Kyle Lowry	71	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.40	-2	-2	0	15.2	14.4	0.79	16.3	13.1	3.15
Fred VanVleet	74	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	5	-14	15.4	13.8	1.60	15.4	15.6	-0.13
Pascal Siakam	71	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.21	-12	8	-20	15.7	13.0	2.63	16.0	14.0	2.03

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	64	62	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.31	6	-2	8	14.9	16.6	-1.71	15.0	15.1	-0.12
Darren Collison	63	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	-2	8	15.3	15.8	-0.55	14.8	15.5	-0.76
Thaddeus Young	63	62	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.35	2	2	0	16.8	12.8	3.92	15.6	13.9	1.69
Myles Turner	74	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	0	4	15.8	14.3	1.42	15.1	14.7	0.43
Bojan Bogdanovic	68	70	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.45	-6	10	-16	15.4	15.5	-0.10	14.2	17.2	-2.92
Domantas Sabonis	25	27	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	-2	8	13.7	16.1	-2.38	15.9	14.7	1.18
Tyreke Evans	53	55	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	3	-2	15.0	16.1	-1.07	14.6	15.6	-1.06
Kyle O'Quinn	4	4	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	1	2	15.0	15.5	-0.49	13.7	15.1	-1.32
Victor Oladipo	18	19	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	2	0	17.1	15.1	2.03	17.3	14.4	2.88
Doug McDermott	38	38	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	8	-12	15.1	15.7	-0.65	14.8	15.2	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.8,0.73,0.56,0.85,0.77,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.84,0.83,1	93.4%
MIA 93, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.82,1	93.1%
GSW 84, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.91,1	93.0%