NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	9.0 [109]		MVP	Jordan Farmar (NJN): +76.5%
New Jersey Nets	101		Comeback	5.8 [133]		LVP	Mo Williams (LAC): -21.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.36	0.08	0.29	0.00	11	81%	0.48	5	-0.11	5	100%	0.10
Randy Foye	0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.33	0.07	0.26	0.00	18	62%	0.41	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.06
Blake Griffin	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.04	15	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	17	59%	-0.11
Bobby Simmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
DeAndre Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21	-0.07	-0.15	-0.00	12	37%	-0.12	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.77	0.77	0.08	0.68	-0.00	11	67%	0.83	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	13	73%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.19,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	4	79%	0.26	4	-0.15	11	82%	0.06
Sundiata Gaines	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.01	-0.01	0.10	-0.11	0.00	8	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.03	17	51%	0.05	5	-0.11	7	71%	-0.05
Kris Humphries	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.18,-0.28,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	0.02	11	43%	-0.07	5	-0.13	6	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.7	27.6	14.8	29.4	2.5	51.2	150.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +48.1%

LAC -9.7%

NJN +1.6%

LAC -1.1%

NJN +11.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NJN	NBA	LAC	NJN	NBA
this game	14.3	15.7	15.6	103.1	106.3	102.8
season	16.2	16.2		106.0	101.3
opponent	15.2	15.7		107.6	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.2	15.4	12.7	12.8	14.3
NJN	18.8	14.6	13.9	16.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	15	14	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.10	9	-10	19	12.1	14.7	-2.68	12.3	16.3	-3.99
Reggie Evans	23	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-1	1	15.3	14.0	1.22	16.0	15.6	0.41
Kenyon Martin	56	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.51	12	-13	25	13.6	15.3	-1.71	15.5	16.0	-0.51
Bobby Simmons	13	14	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	8	-17	16.2	14.0	2.20	15.4	15.7	-0.38
Caron Butler	46	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	6	-13	15.5	13.3	2.27	16.7	14.8	1.92
Mo Williams	68	65	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.49	8	-9	17	13.6	16.0	-2.38	15.3	16.6	-1.34
DeAndre Jordan	35	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	12	-25	15.5	13.7	1.81	16.3	15.3	1.05
Randy Foye	71	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-1	1	14.1	15.0	-0.92	15.9	15.1	0.77
Blake Griffin	80	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.43	-1	0	-1	14.1	15.6	-1.53	15.5	16.8	-1.36
Chris Paul	78	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.43	-4	3	-7	14.6	13.3	1.33	15.9	14.6	1.32

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	40	42	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.65	4	-3	7	14.7	16.4	-1.61	13.2	15.2	-2.01
Anthony Morrow	35	36	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.59	3	-2	5	14.9	16.1	-1.17	14.1	14.5	-0.39
MarShon Brooks	65	68	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.57	0	1	-1	16.6	13.6	3.00	14.4	14.2	0.22
Deron Williams	80	83	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	0	1	15.8	14.9	0.97	14.2	15.0	-0.78
Kris Humphries	71	75	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.50	-7	8	-15	15.7	15.6	0.08	14.5	13.7	0.78
Johan Petro	39	38	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	1	-1	14.3	16.7	-2.38	13.4	14.9	-1.54
Gerald Green	18	18	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	4	-7	14.4	16.0	-1.60	14.3	14.3	0.00
Shelden Williams	80	79	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.14	6	-5	11	16.3	12.1	4.22	14.7	12.6	2.11
DeShawn Stevenson	46	46	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.29	3	-2	5	16.1	15.3	0.87	15.5	13.3	2.18
Sundiata Gaines	1	0	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.18	-2	3	-5	8.0	15.8	-7.77	0.0	14.3	-14.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.84,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 84, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.91,1	94.4%
NYK 97, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.95,0.85,1	93.6%
TOR 106, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.8,0.73,0.56,0.85,0.77,0.85,1	93.4%